SRCgroup2K22

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What to expect

Plays per day 10+
Written analysis Extensive
Bankroll management 1 unit = 1.00% of bankroll
Specialties Spread, Totals, Moneyline

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(more than 7 days old)

8:15PM: Bills Vs. Dolphins

SRCgroup2K22 Published 1 week ago

Picks:
Dolphins Alt -1 -134 5U (DK)
Dolphins TTO 23.5 -142 5U (DK)
Bills TTU 24.5 -148 3U (DK)
Dolphins 1H ML -135 3U (DK)
Dolphins Alt -7 +202 1U (DK)

As the Buffalo Bills prepare to face the Miami Dolphins in Week 2, the smart money is on the Dolphins to cover the spread. The oddsmakers have set Miami as 1-point favorites at home, which seems like a reasonable line given how both teams performed in Week 1. The Dolphins enter this matchup with one of the most explosive offenses in the league. Led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who threw for 466 yards and 3 touchdowns in Week 1, Miami’s passing attack should be able to challenge a Bills secondary that lost key players like Jordan Poyer in the offseason. The Dolphins’ offense ranked 6th in total yards (364.5 per game) and 11th in scoring (23.4 points per game) in 2023. A key component of Miami’s success is their dynamic receiving duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Hill had a monster game in Week 1 with 215 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Waddle added 5 catches for 102 yards. Their speed and big-play ability make them constant threats, especially against a Bills defense that has shown some vulnerability to deep passes. On the defensive side, the Dolphins have made improvements, particularly in their front seven. The addition of veteran linebacker David Long Jr. should help solidify the run defense, while cornerback Jalen Ramsey provides a lockdown presence in the secondary when healthy. The Bills, meanwhile, face some challenges on offense. While Josh Allen remains one of the league’s top quarterbacks, the loss of Stefon Diggs leaves Buffalo without a true #1 receiver. The Bills’ offensive line also struggled at times in Week 1, which could be problematic against Miami’s pass rush led by Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips. Given the Dolphins’ offensive firepower, improved defense, and home-field advantage in the Florida heat, taking Miami to cover appears to be the smart play for this Thursday Night Football matchup. The Dolphins’ momentum from their Week 1 win, combined with Buffalo’s uncertainties on offense, suggests Miami is well-positioned to secure a key divisional victory and cover the 1-point spread.

9:45PM MLB: Brewers Vs Giants

SRCgroup2K22 Published 1 week ago

Picks:

Brewers ML -135 5U (DK)

Brewers F5 ML -125 3U (MGM)

Brewers TTO 3.5 -140 3U (ESPN)

Coming into tonight’s game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants, the value lies on the Brewers to win on the road, while also putting up runs at a consistent clip. The Brewers through the season are 83-62 while going 41-33 on the road for the money-line. The Giants have struggled in recent games going 4-6 through the last ten while also going 28-45 as underdogs. Working for the Brewers is that the Giants have lost by at least two runs in four of the last ten games while also failing to score three or more runs in 3 of the last ten games. The Brewers have managed to score four runs or more in four of the last ten games ; and have scored three or more runs in six of the last ten games. The Giants will start Hayden Birdsong on the mound who has struggled going 3-5 through 12 games while pitching a 5.19 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. In Birdsong’s most recent eight games, he has further regressed going 2-5 pitching a 6.06 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP allowing 26 hits and 22 runs through 32 innings of action. The Brewers will start Frankie Montas on the mound who is 6-10 through 26 starts pitching a 4.69 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. In the last five games, Montas has produced a 3.30 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. On the road this season, the Brewers have done a solid job with their lineup against right handed pitchers averaging a dominant 5.2 runs per nine on 7.2 hits and a .337 OBP.

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