ProfessorSides
Sending my plays to
more than 1.3K subs
Sending my plays to more than 1.3K subs
⚾️ MLB
🏀 NCAAB
🏈 NCAAF, NFL

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⚾️ MLB, 🏀 NCAAB, 🏈 NCAAF, 🏈 NFL, Projection Models, Simulation Sheets, +EV Value Plays

All-Access Package including every MLB, NFL, CFB, and CBB play
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I've put together a 15 minute welcome video that explains everything you need to know about me, how we operate here, and how to understand the information provided. If you haven't watched it yet, it should make the onboarding process a lot smoother: https://youtu.be/SCf5P4cM-GA

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Football Only Package
🏈 NCAAF, 🏈 NFL, Projection Models, Simulation Sheets, +EV Value Plays

Every CFB and NFL play
Discord CFB and NFL chat included
Plays sent to the DubClub Plays App, Telegram, Email, and Discord

I've put together a 15 minute welcome video that explains everything you need to know about me, how we operate here, and how to understand the information provided. If you haven't watched it yet, it should make the onboarding process a lot smoother: https://youtu.be/SCf5P4cM-GA

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Play of the Day
Top Plays

Every Play of the Day
Discord POTD chat included
Plays sent to the DubClub Plays App, Telegram, Email, and Discord

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Get 1 free play

What to expect

Plays per day 10+
Written analysis Moderate
Bankroll management 1 unit = 1.00% of bankroll
Specialties Projection Models, Simulation Sheets, +EV Value Plays

Recent plays

(more than 7 days old)

Sat 8/31 MLB Play of the Day

ProfessorSides Published 1 week ago

7:10pm ET: Royals at Astros: Astros (-132)

  • Royals (Offense rating: 92 (vs LHP: 96), RPs: 105 (top RPs: 109)) SP: LHP Cole Ragans (27 GS, 156 IP, 3.28 ERA, 3.06 FIP, 3.42 xFIP, 3.6 park neutral projection, Rating: 84)
  • Astros (Offense rating: 120 (vs LHP: 120), RPs: 96 (top RPs: 96)) SP: LHP Yusei Kikuchi (27 GS, 144 IP, 4.39 ERA, 3.65 FIP, 3.39 xFIP, 3.75 park neutral projection, Rating: 89)
  • SideLine: Astros have a 60% win probability (-148) … Threshold: -133 or better

NOTE: reasonably -135 is fine, though I wouldn’t play it past -140

Sat 8/31 MLB Play of the Day

ProfessorSides Published 1 week ago

7:10pm ET: Royals at Astros: Astros (-132)

  • Royals (Offense rating: 92 (vs LHP: 96), RPs: 105 (top RPs: 109)) SP: LHP Cole Ragans (27 GS, 156 IP, 3.28 ERA, 3.06 FIP, 3.42 xFIP, 3.6 park neutral projection, Rating: 84)
  • Astros (Offense rating: 120 (vs LHP: 120), RPs: 96 (top RPs: 96)) SP: LHP Yusei Kikuchi (27 GS, 144 IP, 4.39 ERA, 3.65 FIP, 3.39 xFIP, 3.75 park neutral projection, Rating: 89)
  • SideLine: Astros have a 60% win probability (-148) … Threshold: -133 or better

NOTE: reasonably -135 is fine, though I wouldn’t play it past -140

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About me

I’m a PhD statistician who has built mathematical models to predict MLB, NFL, CFB, CBB and NHL. The models provided totals, team totals, and thresholds for ML picks to be +EV and top plays, the latter deriving from my expertise of probability. I believe our picks have an edge because most people don’t understand probability very well! For more explanations visit www.pickswiththeprofessor.com/new, and for a sneak peek of what you get by joining this DubClub, watch this welcome video.

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My performance

24 MLB: As of 8/3, 3% ROI on Play of the Day [n=130], +50u (5% ROI) on A grades [n=888]
23-24 CBB: 6% ROI on Play of the Day [n=258]
2023 CFB: 5% ROI on A grade sides [n=259]
2023 NFL: 22% ROI on A grade sides [n=91]
2023 MLB: 1% ROI on the POTD [n=200]
22-23 CBB: 9% ROI on A grade ML plays [n=185] in March (debut of ML model)
2022 CFB: 1% ROI picking every spread from Week 8 on [n=375]
2022 MLB: 4% ROI on A grade sides [n=647]

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