MmaWeezy

1 UNIT BET ON THE BASSIL HAFEZ FINISH ONLY (SCORECARDS = NO ACTION) PROP AT +112 ON BETRIVERS SPORTSBOOK

I just bet 1U on the Bassil Hafez Finish Only Prop at +112 on BetRivers Sportsbook. I talked about this one on Prop-ability. I rate Bassil as the superior moment winner both at distance striking range and with his BJJ. In addition Elliott has been finished in both of his pro losses and has been in trouble and almost finished in the Brito fight on DWCS while Hafez has never been finished as a pro. BetOnline has this prop priced at -140 and I think thats a bargain so there was no way I could pass this up at +112. 1U to win 1.12 where the data meets my stylistic read. Let’s see how it goes.

1 UNIT BET ON BO NICKAL TO WIN AND OVER 1.5 ROUNDS AT +210 ON BETRIVERS SPORTSBOOK

I just bet 1U on Bo Nickal to Win AND OVER 1.5 Rounds at +210 on BetRivers Sportsbook. I think this fight is going to be closer than the line indicates and I feel as if Nickal’s early finish equity is being seriously overstated. I dont rate Bo’s striking yet, he’s was getting pieced up on the feet against Brundage and in my opinion, looking good against Pickett and Woodburn for less than 60 seconds isnt enough evidence to suggest Bo is a killer on the feet. Which means I think this fight goes to the ground where Paul is very good. Paul can be broken but it takes time so while I do agree that Nickal wins this fight at a high clip, I think it takes more than 7.5 minutes to get the job done so I feel as if +210 is a generous line so I played it for a full unit to win 2.1 Praying to Jah that Paul can last 7.5 minutes and that I’m right about Bo’s striking being just ok for the UFC level.