TravisKinvestments

6-26-24

It’s been a while since we’ve had multiple plays in one day. These two games were about as even as it gets and rather than pick one to post, I posted both.

Game One....The x-factor of this game was George Kirby. Kirby’s a good pitcher, solid, but he’s not a Cy Young type pitcher, an ace, he’s not an “OMG, Kirby’s pitching tomorrow” type of guy. However, he gets the Vegas respect that type of pitcher would get and the reason why the Mariners are involved in more low-scoring games than anyone in baseball, is their hitting, NOT their pitching. Their pitching is good, the kind of staff you’d want if you’re the Braves or the Dodgers or the Phillies....teams that can really hit. Seattle isn’t viewed as a great “Over” bet and the reputation is, it’s their pitching. But their a bad “Over” bet because they can’t hit water if they fall out of a boat.

So today was perfect....Tampa was pitching Ryan Pepiot, a below average pitcher who has been terrible at home. The Mariners can hit a really bad pitcher so I wanted/needed 2-3 runs out of the Rays and counted on Seattle to do the rest and two below-average bullpens to fill in any gaps if needed.

As it turned out Kirby was at his best, Pepiot was amazing, literally his best game of the season, and the bullpens bailed us out to get the push.

Game Two.....This number was simply a bad line. 7.5 at PLUS 110??? Here’s the deal....Dylan Cease had an ERA under 2 for a good part of the season, but he is NOT that pitcher right now. Before you say, “But he......”, let me finish. :) He has really struggled lately but there was an ace-in-the-hole just in case he got back to his early-season stuff....and he did....and that was DJ Herz, the rookie lefty of the Nationals. He hasn’t been good and his MiLB numbers are really rough…almost no AAA experience. As well, San Diego hits SIXTY points hight verses righties while having a lineup loaded with really good right-handed hitters. That can’t hold and this was the perfect matchup hit a lefty really well, and they came through.

Cease was nearly unhittable and after the Pads scored 8, their bullpen gave up 5 in the 9th just to make it look like an easy win, when it really wasn’t.

6-26-24

It’s been a while since we’ve had multiple plays in one day. These two games were about as even as it gets and rather than pick one to post, I posted both.

Game One....The x-factor of this game was George Kirby. Kirby’s a good pitcher, solid, but he’s not a Cy Young type pitcher, an ace, he’s not an “OMG, Kirby’s pitching tomorrow” type of guy. However, he gets the Vegas respect that type of pitcher would get and the reason why the Mariners are involved in more low-scoring games than anyone in baseball, is their hitting, NOT their pitching. Their pitching is good, the kind of staff you’d want if you’re the Braves or the Dodgers or the Phillies....teams that can really hit. Seattle isn’t viewed as a great “Over” bet and the reputation is, it’s their pitching. But their a bad “Over” bet because they can’t hit water if they fall out of a boat.

So today was perfect....Tampa was pitching Ryan Pepiot, a below average pitcher who has been terrible at home. The Mariners can hit a really bad pitcher so I wanted/needed 2-3 runs out of the Rays and counted on Seattle to do the rest and two below-average bullpens to fill in any gaps if needed.

As it turned out Kirby was at his best, Pepiot was amazing, literally his best game of the season, and the bullpens bailed us out to get the push.

Game Two.....This number was simply a bad line. 7.5 at PLUS 110??? Here’s the deal....Dylan Cease had an ERA under 2 for a good part of the season, but he is NOT that pitcher right now. Before you say, “But he......”, let me finish. :) He has really struggled lately but there was an ace-in-the-hole just in case he got back to his early-season stuff....and he did....and that was DJ Herz, the rookie lefty of the Nationals. He hasn’t been good and his MiLB numbers are really rough…almost no AAA experience. As well, San Diego hits SIXTY points hight verses righties while having a lineup loaded with really good right-handed hitters. That can’t hold and this was the perfect matchup hit a lefty really well, and they came through.

Cease was nearly unhittable and after the Pads scored 8, their bullpen gave up 5 in the 9th just to make it look like an easy win, when it really wasn’t.