BallparkPal

Sending my plays to
more than 2.5K subs
Sending my plays to more than 2.5K subs
📈
Trending
⚾️ MLB

Get my plays sent to you

Ballpark Pal Research Feed
⚾️ MLB
Push

Push

Email

Email

Telegram

Telegram

What to expect

Plays per day 10+
Written analysis Moderate
Specialties Projection Models, Simulation Sheets

Recent plays

(more than 7 days old)

Everybody Loves a Promotion

BallparkPal Published 1 week ago

Good Wednesday morning to everybody!

Not a lot out of the ordinary on the sheets today, with the exception of some possible rain in Cincinnati (vs. Milwaukee) and St. Louis (vs. Philadelphia), so keep an eye on those as the day goes on.

There should be some prominent Major League debuts today, so it’s a good chance for us to talk through how the BP model treats new arrivals. Spencer Arrighetti is is scheduled to start on the mound for the Astros in his first MLB action, while Jackson Holliday - the #1 prospect in baseball - is reportedly joining the Orioles for the rest of their series in Boston.

Our model doesn’t use data from the minor leagues for a variety of reasons, so we generally treat most call-ups roughly the same - as a sort of placeholder ‘new player’ - for a bit, but the model will also quickly adapt to their skills to dial in the accuracy.

Every once in a while, we’ll have a very comparable established player for a minor league call-up and we can manually insert a good equivalent in their early games, but we always want to be sure on those. Don’t worry - if Arrighetti or Holliday tears it up in their first few appearances, Ballpark Pal will be on top of it in short order.

The most up-to-date information from the BP sims can always be found at BallparkPal dot com, which will update as soon as possible when information changes and as lineups lock in. As a reminder, your subscription to this Research Feed does NOT include full access to the website, which requires its own unique subscription.

Complete summaries, details and explanations for ALL of the graphics provided as part of the BP Research Feed are available at this link.

Full insight into the methodology and techniques used in the Ballpark Pal model can also be found right here.

If you have any questions for us, we can be reached by DM on Twitter/X via @BallparkPal or by email at support at ballparkpal dot com.

Thank you again for subscribing!

1_StadiumReport.png
2_StartingPitcherPhysics.png
3_StartingPitcherOutcomes.png
4_StartingPitcherProjections.png
5_HomeRunPlayers.png
6_HomeRunGeneral.png
7_BatterVsPitcherMatchups.png
8_GameSimulationsSides.png
9_GameSimulationsTotals.png
10_DailyFantasy.png
11_MostLikely.png
12_OutlierOdds.png
13_Hot.png
14_Cold.png
15_GoodLuck.png
16_BadLuck.png
17_BullpenRankings.png
18_BattingLineupRankings.png
19_RotationRankings.png
20_TeamRankings.png
21_BatterRankings.png
22_StartingPitcherRankings.png
23_RelieverRankings.png

Tuesday Aces

BallparkPal Published 1 week, 1 day ago

Another 15-game Tuesday to really get into the week!

Yesterday, we talked about Great American Ball Park and its penchant for homers - on cue, it gave us five long balls on Monday evening (both of Elly’s count!). It has a similar projection this evening, but there’s rain in the Cincy forecast, so keep an eye out for a delay.

There are a lot of aces on the mound today - Burnes, Rodon, Glasnow, Ragans, Wheeler, Gray and Eovaldi are all getting the ball - so there’s plenty of green all over our starting pitcher reports, particularly PP #1 that looks at their stuff.

Just a reminder that those reports are from the perspective of the pitcher, so green coloring and high grades mean that our models expect good things for the starters.

Be aware that we have a couple of afternoon games today, with Detroit-Pittsburgh at 12:35p and Baltimore-Boston starting their series at 2:10p!

The most up-to-date information from the BP sims can always be found at BallparkPal dot com, which will update as soon as possible when information changes and as lineups lock in. As a reminder, your subscription to this Research Feed does NOT include full access to the website, which requires its own unique subscription.

Complete summaries, details and explanations for ALL of the graphics provided as part of the BP Research Feed are available at this link.

Full insight into the methodology and techniques used in the Ballpark Pal model can also be found right here.

If you have any questions for us, we can be reached by DM on Twitter/X via @BallparkPal or by email at support at ballparkpal dot com.

Thank you again for subscribing!

1_StadiumReport.png
2_StartingPitcherPhysics.png
3_StartingPitcherOutcomes.png
4_StartingPitcherProjections.png
5_HomeRunPlayers.png
6_HomeRunGeneral.png
7_BatterVsPitcherMatchups.png
8_GameSimulationsSides.png
9_GameSimulationsTotals.png
10_DailyFantasy.png
11_MostLikely.png
12_OutlierOdds.png
13_Hot.png
14_Cold.png
15_GoodLuck.png
16_BadLuck.png
17_BullpenRankings.png
18_BattingLineupRankings.png
19_RotationRankings.png
20_TeamRankings.png
21_BatterRankings.png
22_StartingPitcherRankings.png
23_RelieverRankings.png

See more

About me

Ballpark Pal is an MLB research platform that produces in-depth projections for every game. Trusted by 45,000 weekly users in 2023, it stands as a premier source for those seeking data-driven insights into each day’s slate of games. This feed delivers 20+ reports each morning covering park factors, pitching previews, home run projections, simulation results, outlier odds, and much more.

See more

My performance

Ballpark Pal tracks and publishes the accuracy of its sim results in detail: Ballpark Pal Accuracy

Social media

58.7K

How it works

Subscribe

Subscribe

Subscribe to receive my plays when I see good opportunities to score
Get notified

Get notified

When I publish in my DubClub, you get a message via the DubClub Plays app, Telegram, Discord, or email with a link to access my plays
Click to win

Click to Win

Click on the link in the message to view my plays

Stop missing plays. Start winning more.