TommyLocks21

I love placing bets based off of players in good spots because of opponents defensive deficiencies, BUT the cheat sheet is meant to be a starting point in most cases. Use these cheat sheets as a starting point to find offensive players (right) in good spots due to opponents defensive deficiencies (left). Then I recommend using another research tool like props.cash (my favorite) to help make a more educated WNBA wager 🤝 (12 teams - STARTERS only)

First - WHAT IS NRFI?

🚷NRFI = No Run(s) First Inning. NRFI is a betting market in the MLB that requires the score to be 0-0 at the end of the 1st inning.

Pro tip 💡* - Always bet the 1st inning result “tie” at a little higher odds to allow yourself more opportunity of winning.

1)  Matchups - away team on the top and home team on the bottom.

2)  Projected starting pitchers for that matchup.

3)  Projected starting pitcher’s NRFI record = if a pitcher has a NRFI record of 11-3 this season, they have prevented a run in 11 first innings and allowed a run in 3 first innings. Pitchers NRFI record is their NRFI record across the current season.

4)  Pitcher NRFI streak = the number of consecutive games a pitcher has achieved a NRFI (also highlighting their record in the last 5 games (L5)).

6)  1st INNING WHIP = a pitchers walks plus hits in the first inning.

7)  1st INNING OPP. BA = Opponents batting average in the first inning this season.

Start your day with my customized MLB INFORMATION HUB 👨‍💻 I highlight fun statistics that are popular for the GamblingX community like players who have hit the most home runs on that day of the week, who's had multiple HRs vs the pitcher they face, and what pitchers are allowing a barrel % of 10% or more to a certain side of the plate revealing their potential weaknesses.

TommyLocks21 MLB cheat sheets powered by 5280 Sports Group, are intended to highlight vulnerable pitchers that allow a high barrel % and number of home runs within the last 60 days + highlight the corresponding batters that are in the position to take advantage of that vulnerability - specific to the pitch mix they are expected to see from the respective starter - based off of batter performance in the last 30 days. The sheet highlights the pitchers vulnerability and the batters in a good spot by using key metrics that are often looked at when predicting home runs. With that said this data highlights batters that should hit the ball hard. I recommend taking a hits parlay, bases parlay, and then home run plays in that order of confidence. These cheat sheets are meant to assist everyday bettors in cutting down research time and help in making a more educated wager.

Barrel % (B%): The percentage of a batters plate appearances where the ball is hit with the ideal combination of exit velocity and launch angle (ei: 98mph & 26-30 degrees) resulting in optimal outcomes. 💎 The cheat sheet aims to highlight batters that average equal to or greater than a 10% barrel %. Players that have a 10-15% barrel % is encouraging. Anything north of 15% is very impressive and obviously 20%+ is absolutely slugging that pitch mix. Make sure to pay attention to the batting average of the players over the last 30 days highlighted at the end of each player in parentheses.

Exit Velocity (EV): The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat after contact, measured in MPH. Average exit velocity in the MLB is around 87mph.

Isolated Power (ISO): Measures a player’s power by quantifying extra-base hits per at bat. By focusing strictly on extra-base hits, ISO can help evaluate the raw power a player has. For example, a player who goes 1-for-5 with a double has an ISO of .200. A player who goes 2-for-5 with a single and a double has a higher batting average than the first player, but the same ISO of .200. Average ISO in the MLB is around .140. Anything north of .250ISO is very encouraging.

Fly ball% (F/B%): The percentage of balls hit as fly balls.

RHH/LHH: Right handed hitter/Left handed hitter.

L5 EV on BIP = last five exit velocity on balls in play

L7 = last 7 days

Overview:
I love placing bets based off of players in good spots because of opponents defensive deficiencies, BUT the cheat sheet is meant to be a starting point in most cases. Use these cheat sheets as a starting point to find offensive players (right) in good spots due to opponents defensive deficiencies (left). Then I recommend using another research tool like props.cash (my favorite) to help make a more educated NBA wager 🤝

In depth example:
I use season long, last 15, & last 30 game data (depending on the where it’s at in the season) to create a cheat sheet for every nba game. My sheet points out positions and the players correlated to those positions, that are in good spots for a certain prop due to a team’s defensive deficiencies. I switch from season long data to using the last 30 games played after the trade deadline to account for depth chart changes. I love placing bets based off of players in good spots because of opponents defensive deficiencies, BUT the cheat sheet is meant to be a starting point in most cases. With that said there are days like April 7ths cheat sheet when the cheat sheet is on absolute fire and players are able to take advantage of those good spots they are in regardless of what other research indicates.

I’ll April 7ths specific cheat sheet (picture link below) and a specific spot I liked on that day as my example. My favorite spot on April 7ths cheat sheet was Bradley Beal threes. He soared over in points and balled out overall, but my sheet highlighted that the NOR Pelicans allowed the 2nd most 3 pointers made to opposing teams shooting guards (and in parentheses I put the average # of threes they give up a game to opposing sgs- in this case 3.92 between starting and backup SGs) In this case since the Pelicans were playing the Suns it would be Beal that is in a good spot for making three point shots. There’s your starting point. I then used http://props.cash to look into his L5 games he’s played, how he’s done at home, how he’s done vs NOR in the past, what his true shooting % is and EFG%. I found nothing but great things. So it was a smash spot for me and went into the giveaway play. He ended the night with 7 threes I believe. His line was 1.5. (Below is a link to the cheat sheet from April 7th to understand the example further). https://twitter.com/messages/media/1777698355986022592