TPSbetting
🏀 NBA, NCAAB
🏈 NFL, NCAAF
⚾️ MLB

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What to expect

Plays per day 5 - 9
Written analysis Moderate
Bankroll management 1 unit = 1.00% of bankroll
Specialties Promo Boosts, +EV Value Plays

Recent plays

(more than 7 days old)

4/12 +EV Boosts & Promos

TPSbetting Published 1 week ago

4/12 +EV Boosts & Promos

DraftKings:

Jackson Holliday 1+ Hit (+135) (20% NRFI Boost) -> EV: ~28% FV: -121 QK: 5.27 (Rec: 5) ($50 Max)

Braves/Marlins NRFI (+109) (20% NRFI Boost) -> EV: ~8% FV: -108 QK: 1.94 ($50 Max)

Glossary:

EV (Expected Value) - estimated return on investment over time (ex: If EV = ~10%, then for every $1 you bet, you should expect $0.10 in profit)

FV (Fair Value) - these are the odds after you account for the sportsbook’s edge (vig)

QK (Quarter Kelly) - recommended units you should wager if there are no limits (there are almost always limits on boosts/promos, so most times it’s recommended you bet your max)

4/10 +EV Boosts & Promos

TPSbetting Published 1 week, 1 day ago

4/10 +EV Boosts & Promos

Fanatics:

Tiger 72 or Better in Round 1 (+240) (Boost) -> EV: ~48% FV: +130 QK: 5.01 (Rec: 3) ($25 Max)

Caesars:

Brunson & Zion 25+ Each (+140) (Flash Boost) -> EV: ~3% FV: +132 QK: 0.61 (Rec: 1) ($25 Max)

SuperBook:

Red Sox ML + Celtics ML (+325) (Dom’s Boost) -> EV: ~9% FV: +291 QK: 0.66 ($25 Max)

DraftKings:

*ALREADY POSTED Keopka & Speith 7+ Birdies (+150) (Augusta Super Boost) -> EV: ~5% FV: +138 QK: 0.88 ($50 Max)

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About me

Positive expected value (+EV) betting is a proven way to profit long term. The simplest form of +EV betting is taking advantage of sportsbook boosts and promos. However, not all boosts and promos are mathematically profitable.

TPS does the math so you don’t have to. We post daily +EV boosts and promos from all of the major sportsbooks (FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesar’s, BetMGM, Bet365, ESPN Bet, Prize Picks, Fanatics, Hard Rock, SuperBook, Betway). Find us on Twitter @tpsbetting.

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My performance

Below is an example of one month of +EV betting with just boosts and promos. In this example, one unit equals $20. IMG_1261.jpg

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