PeterAppel

Noticed that the line crashed back down to +175 on Caesars. That’s still totally fine, as my model literally thinks it should be -250. Insanity. Good to see immediate line movement though.

Quentin Johnston Anytime TD (+200)

Risk 1 Unit on Caesars. Chargers WR vs Buccaneers

I’m not much of an Anytime TD bettor. Not my style of capping. That said, my model which has been pretty decent in this category, is giving him a 70% chance of scoring. It’s a projection I’ve never came close to seeing that much value. It also has Ladd as questionable, so it’s assuming he’s playing, but in a more limited format. Even still, this is such an absurd projection that I’m going to play it and make it an official pick. He does have 7 TD’s this season, almost double the amount of Ladd, so it’s not outlandish either. Scored in last 3 of five games, last six of ten. Bucs aren’t a great secondary either. I’m taking the leap