WTAGodfather

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What to expect

Plays per day 5 - 9
Written analysis Moderate
Bankroll management 1 unit = 1.00% of bankroll
Specialties Spread, Totals, Moneyline

Recent plays

(more than 7 days old)

5/3/24 Tennis Card 🎾

WTAGodfather Published 1 week, 1 day ago

times are EST and estimated
ATP Madrid
2:00pm Lehecka ML (-135) (1.5 unit) - Draftkings
10:00am Fritz Set 1 ML (+115) (.5 unit) - FanDuel

WTA Madrid
Saturday Sabalenka +4.5 (-118) (1 unit) - FanDuel

Mini sweep today with some good fortune on the Sabalenka comeback! 2.89 unit day!

Love lehecka this way. His serving and groundstrokes have been unreal. His volleys have been great as well. FAA hit a purple patch here, but his road should end here. Jiri has been a level above.

Like Fritz to start quick here. The quick conditions have been great for him, and Rublev can get overwhelmed by his serving prowess. Think Taylor grabs set 1.

Might have more on Sabalenka tomorrow. Right up will be out for that tomorrow.

Lets keep going!

5/2/24 Tennis Card 🎾

WTAGodfather Published 1 week, 2 days ago

times are EST and estimated
ATP Madrid
2:00pm Lehecka Set 1 ML (+135) (1 unit) - Draftkings

WTA Madrid
3:30pm Sabalenka ML (+102) (1.5 unit) - Fanduel

HUGE DAY! +.1 unit LOL. We will take the tenth of a unit. Sucks the Alcaraz couldn’t have finished that match off after grabbing set 1 rather routinely. Would have been a massive day had he been able to finish the job. Only 3 Madrid matches tomorrow. Don’t really feel the need to dive into the 125k events or challengers. We had a nice run over the last two weeks bringing +13.2 units. We finish April up 8 units!

Lehecka is hitting the ball the best out of any of the remaining players. He was very focused in his dominant win over Nadal in front of the Spanish fans. Medvedev has been less than convincing and doesn’t love the clay. I foresee Lehecka coming out firing as he has all tournament. Medvedev has been vulnerable, and the serve and groundstrokes of Jiri have been off the charts in Madrid. Expect a quick start.

This line is priced strictly on their last match in Australia where Sabalenka got demolished. I will grab this price now and maybe add more depending on how the line moves tonight into tomorrow. On the clay, Sabalenka is far superior. Her movement, groundstrokes, and even the kick of her serve. Even though this is quick clay, the bounce is much higher than the quick hardcourts of Brisbane where Rybakina unleashed on Aryna. The higher bounce will put the ball into Sabalenka’s strike zone. The hardcourts with Rybakina’s flat hitting makes Sabalenka have to hunch down way below the belt to strike the ball. Sabalenka has won the title here twice and is the defending champ. These conditions have been favorable for her, and we are getting a nice value on this line.

Lets go!

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About me

Professional Sports Handicapper that specializes in all things tennis, with an emphasis on the womens side.
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@WTAGodfather

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