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What to expect
Recent plays
(more than 7 days old)10th
SF: These guys own Seattle. Seattle comes into this game with a winning record and an offensive machine. This total has ticked up a ton and almost a playable number for me on the under but I love the side. Road divisional teams as a favorite off a home loss as a favorite … that’s an 83% system since 2018. Road teams in high total games on TNF are 82% system since 2018. Favorites on primetime vs a team with a better winning percentage … 74% system since 1999. 49ers sit above a field goal favorite on the road here for a reason. Buy low on SF.
JMU/CC: I can’t buy a CFB winner right now but this is a great spot to back. 58 total shoots up to 63 and finally some buy back down to 60.5. I still think this number is too high. JMU has scored 56 and 47 vs this Coastal squad the last 2 years and we have a dropping total? Home teams vs a team who just gave up 35+, the under is a 60% system since 2019. You’ll see everyone on this over tonight. 50 degrees at kick off. When it’s that easy, it’s never a winner.
FLA: Senators are 0-5 as dogs to FLA. Panthers vs division opponents off a home game are 67% system. Panthers went 21-3 as a road favorite from November on last season. Give me the better team.
Bruins: Canadiens off a back to back and catch themselves in a horrible spot. Bruins are 26-4 at home off a loss since 2020 vs same conference. Montreal is 8-31 vs divisional teams on the road since 2021. Give me a beat down in Boston.
Predators: The Preds see themselves as a home underdog for the 32nd time since 2022. In the 31 games as a home dog, they have scored 4 or more goals 4 times. That is 12.9%.
10th
SF: These guys own Seattle. Seattle comes into this game with a winning record and an offensive machine. This total has ticked up a ton and almost a playable number for me on the under but I love the side. Road divisional teams as a favorite off a home loss as a favorite … that’s an 83% system since 2018. Road teams in high total games on TNF are 82% system since 2018. Favorites on primetime vs a team with a better winning percentage … 74% system since 1999. 49ers sit above a field goal favorite on the road here for a reason. Buy low on SF.
JMU/CC: I can’t buy a CFB winner right now but this is a great spot to back. 58 total shoots up to 63 and finally some buy back down to 60.5. I still think this number is too high. JMU has scored 56 and 47 vs this Coastal squad the last 2 years and we have a dropping total? Home teams vs a team who just gave up 35+, the under is a 60% system since 2019. You’ll see everyone on this over tonight. 50 degrees at kick off. When it’s that easy, it’s never a winner.
FLA: Senators are 0-5 as dogs to FLA. Panthers vs division opponents off a home game are 67% system. Panthers went 21-3 as a road favorite from November on last season. Give me the better team.
Bruins: Canadiens off a back to back and catch themselves in a horrible spot. Bruins are 26-4 at home off a loss since 2020 vs same conference. Montreal is 8-31 vs divisional teams on the road since 2021. Give me a beat down in Boston.
Predators: The Preds see themselves as a home underdog for the 32nd time since 2022. In the 31 games as a home dog, they have scored 4 or more goals 4 times. That is 12.9%.
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