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CFB Week 3 Projections

ProfessorSides Published 1 week ago

All times are listed as Pacific but that’ll get fixed for the midweek update
Picks coming… soon?

Thur 4:30pm: Arizona State +9.1 (ML: +237, A grade: +314) at Texas State -9.1 (ML: -237, A grade: -185), Total: 63.9
Fri 4:00pm: UNLV +8.9 (ML: +243, A grade: +322) at Kansas -8.9 (ML: -243, A grade: -188), Total: 57.8
Fri 5:00pm: Arizona +5.5 (ML: +169, A grade: +216) at Kansas State -5.5 (ML: -169, A grade: -135), Total: 60.5
Sat 9:00am: Oklahoma State -21.9 (ML: -839, A grade: -519) at Tulsa +21.9 (ML: +839, A grade: +1840), Total: 67.1
Sat 9:00am: North Texas +11 (ML: +254, A grade: +340) at Texas Tech -11 (ML: -254, A grade: -196), Total: 77.9
Sat 9:00am: Alabama -15.6 (ML: -545, A grade: -376) at Wisconsin +15.6 (ML: +545, A grade: +899), Total: 52.7
Sat 9:00am: Central Michigan +21.8 (ML: +1215, A grade: N/A) at Illinois -21.8 (ML: -1215, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.4
Sat 9:00am: Memphis 0 (ML: -100, A grade: +125) at Florida State +0 (ML: +100, A grade: +125), Total: 56.6
Sat 9:00am: Cincinnati -5.8 (ML: -189, A grade: -150) at Miami (OH) +5.8 (ML: +189, A grade: +244), Total: 47.1
Sat 9:00am: Louisiana Tech +25 (ML: +1902, A grade: N/A) at NC State -25 (ML: -1902, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.3
Sat 9:00am: LSU -10.5 (ML: -291, A grade: -222) at South Carolina +10.5 (ML: +291, A grade: +399), Total: 56.4
Sat 9:00am: Arkansas State +27 (ML: +2925, A grade: N/A) at Michigan -27 (ML: -2925, A grade: N/A), Total: 47.9
Sat 9:45am: Boston College +17.8 (ML: +708, A grade: +1354) at Missouri -17.8 (ML: -708, A grade: -459), Total: 52.5
Sat 10:00am: Massachusetts +1.6 (ML: +120, A grade: +150) at Buffalo -1.6 (ML: -120, A grade: +104), Total: 47.6
Sat 12:00pm: Coastal Carolina -27.8 (ML: -2584, A grade: N/A) at Temple +27.8 (ML: +2584, A grade: N/A), Total: 54
Sat 12:30pm: Texas A&M -3.7 (ML: -146, A grade: -117) at Florida +3.7 (ML: +146, A grade: +184), Total: 53.1
Sat 12:30pm: Washington State +10.8 (ML: +291, A grade: +398) vs Washington -10.8 (ML: -291, A grade: -222), Total: 59.6
Sat 12:30pm: Oregon -10.4 (ML: -293, A grade: -223) at Oregon State +10.4 (ML: +293, A grade: +401), Total: 55
Sat 12:30pm: West Virginia -10.5 (ML: -287, A grade: -219) at Pittsburgh +10.5 (ML: +287, A grade: +391), Total: 58.1
Sat 12:30pm: Ball State +37.8 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Miami (FL) -37.8 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 49.4
Sat 12:30pm: Tulane +11.9 (ML: +362, A grade: +519) at Oklahoma -11.9 (ML: -362, A grade: -268), Total: 51.6
Sat 12:30pm: Nevada +23.4 (ML: +1973, A grade: N/A) at Minnesota -23.4 (ML: -1973, A grade: N/A), Total: 43.7
Sat 12:30pm: Notre Dame -8 (ML: -232, A grade: -181) at Purdue +8 (ML: +232, A grade: +306), Total: 52.2
Sat 1:00pm: Appalachian State -6.6 (ML: -193, A grade: -152) at East Carolina +6.6 (ML: +193, A grade: +249), Total: 57.5
Sat 1:00pm: Troy +25.5 (ML: +3564, A grade: N/A) at Iowa -25.5 (ML: -3564, A grade: N/A), Total: 38.4
Sat 1:15pm: UAB +24.4 (ML: +1120, A grade: N/A) at Arkansas -24.4 (ML: -1120, A grade: N/A), Total: 67
Sat 1:30pm: Utah -29.1 (ML: -3340, A grade: N/A) at Utah State +29.1 (ML: +3340, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.5
Sat 3:00pm: Virginia Tech -16.9 (ML: -596, A grade: -403) at Old Dominion +16.9 (ML: +596, A grade: +1027), Total: 55.7
Sat 3:00pm: UTEP +27.7 (ML: +2362, A grade: N/A) at Liberty -27.7 (ML: -2362, A grade: N/A), Total: 56
Sat 3:00pm: Connecticut +21.3 (ML: +1152, A grade: N/A) at Duke -21.3 (ML: -1152, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.2
Sat 3:00pm: Florida International +1.3 (ML: +115, A grade: +144) at Florida Atlantic -1.3 (ML: -115, A grade: +108), Total: 49.2
Sat 3:30pm: Ole Miss -30.4 (ML: -2591, A grade: N/A) at Wake Forest +30.4 (ML: +2591, A grade: N/A), Total: 63.7
Sat 4:00pm: Western Kentucky -9.6 (ML: -255, A grade: -197) at Middle Tennessee +9.6 (ML: +255, A grade: +341), Total: 60.2
Sat 4:00pm: Jacksonville State +0.3 (ML: +103, A grade: +129) at Eastern Michigan -0.3 (ML: -103, A grade: +121), Total: 52.4
Sat 4:00pm: Vanderbilt -12 (ML: -353, A grade: -263) at Georgia State +12 (ML: +353, A grade: +504), Total: 53.7
Sat 4:00pm: UTSA +41.2 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Texas -41.2 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 60.4
Sat 4:00pm: Hawaii +0.4 (ML: +105, A grade: +130) at Sam Houston State -0.4 (ML: -105, A grade: +119), Total: 50.2
Sat 4:00pm: South Florida -17.6 (ML: -566, A grade: -387) at Southern Miss +17.6 (ML: +566, A grade: +951), Total: 63.3
Sat 4:30pm: Toledo +9.4 (ML: +281, A grade: +382) at Mississippi State -9.4 (ML: -281, A grade: -215), Total: 48.8
Sat 4:30pm: New Mexico +34 (ML: +7113, A grade: N/A) at Auburn -34 (ML: -7113, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.9
Sat 4:30pm: Air Force +7.1 (ML: +225, A grade: +295) at Baylor -7.1 (ML: -225, A grade: -176), Total: 44.6
Sat 4:30pm: UCF -5 (ML: -160, A grade: -128) at TCU +5 (ML: +160, A grade: +204), Total: 62.6
Sat 4:30pm: Georgia -23.5 (ML: -1950, A grade: N/A) at Kentucky +23.5 (ML: +1950, A grade: N/A), Total: 44.4
Sat 4:30pm: Colorado -9.4 (ML: -245, A grade: -190) at Colorado State +9.4 (ML: +245, A grade: +325), Total: 63.6
Sat 4:30pm: Indiana -2.2 (ML: -126, A grade: -101) at UCLA +2.2 (ML: +126, A grade: +159), Total: 50.5
Sat 4:45pm: Kent State +51.5 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Tennessee -51.5 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.7
Sat 5:00pm: Rice +0.5 (ML: +105, A grade: +131) at Houston -0.5 (ML: -105, A grade: +118), Total: 52.4
Sat 5:00pm: Maryland -9.8 (ML: -262, A grade: -202) at Virginia +9.8 (ML: +262, A grade: +353), Total: 59.4
Sat 6:00pm: BYU -7.8 (ML: -232, A grade: -181) at Wyoming +7.8 (ML: +232, A grade: +306), Total: 50.3
Sat 7:30pm: New Mexico State +17.2 (ML: +685, A grade: +1283) at Fresno State -17.2 (ML: -685, A grade: -449), Total: 50.5
Sat 7:30pm: San Diego State +14.9 (ML: +504, A grade: +804) at California -14.9 (ML: -504, A grade: -353), Total: 51.9
Sat 7:30pm: Kennesaw State +19.1 (ML: +1087, A grade: N/A) at San Jose State -19.1 (ML: -1087, A grade: N/A), Total: 42.7

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Thur 4:30pm ET: Arizona State at Texas State
- SideLine: Arizona State has a 30% win probability (+237) … A Grade: +314
- The model thinks they should be 9.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #72 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Sam Leavitt (#74 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them 0 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #68 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #3 (Grade: 127) adding an average of 1.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #87 (99), pass blocking: #74 (102) RB: #40 (111) run blocking: #104 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #2 (Grade: 67) baked in: overall: #66 (Grade: 101), pass #85 (Grade: 104), run #75 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #57 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Texas State has a 70% win probability (-237) … A Grade: -185
- The model thinks they should be 9.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #47 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Jordan McCloud (#19 ranked QB, grade: 118) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #23 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #6 (Grade: 124) adding an average of 1.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #36 (114), pass blocking: #23 (117) RB: #39 (111) run blocking: #101 (116)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #33 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #80 (Grade: 104), pass #73 (Grade: 101), run #92 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #7 (Grade: 127), as they tend to have about 9% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.9
- Projected Score: Texas State 36.5 Arizona State 27.4

Fri 4pm ET: UNLV at Kansas
- SideLine: UNLV has a 29% win probability (+243) … A Grade: +322
- The model thinks they should be 8.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #42 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Matthew Sluka (#29 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #25 (Grade: 114) and their OC ranks #17 (Grade: 117) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #21 (118), pass blocking: #36 (112) RB: #45 (110) run blocking: #100 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #14 (Grade: 81) baked in: overall: #69 (Grade: 102), pass #71 (Grade: 100), run #76 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #71 (Grade: 98), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Kansas has a 71% win probability (-243) … A Grade: -188
- The model thinks they should be 8.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #22 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Jalon Daniels (#46 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #14 (Grade: 120) and their OC ranks #105 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #13 (124), pass blocking: #11 (122) RB: #11 (125) run blocking: #85 (134)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #30 (Grade: 88) baked in: overall: #37 (Grade: 92), pass #36 (Grade: 85), run #45 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #110 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 57.8
- Projected Score: Kansas 33.3 UNLV 24.5

Fri 5pm ET: Arizona at Kansas State
- SideLine: Arizona has a 37% win probability (+169) … A Grade: +216
- The model thinks they should be 5.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #23 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Noah Fifita (#9 ranked QB, grade: 127) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #7 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #11 (Grade: 121) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #12 (124), pass blocking: #12 (122) RB: #9 (127) run blocking: #88 (113)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #55 (Grade: 97), pass #42 (Grade: 88), run #50 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #60 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Kansas State has a 63% win probability (-169) … A Grade: -135
- The model thinks they should be 5.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #16 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Avery Johnson (#44 ranked QB, grade: 112) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #15 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #37 (Grade: 109) adding an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #16 (121), pass blocking: #24 (117) RB: #16 (122) run blocking: #75 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #84 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #21 (Grade: 84), pass #21 (Grade: 75), run #19 (Grade: 73)
- Their pace ranks #54 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.5
- Projected Score: Kansas State 33 Arizona 27.5

Sat 9am ET: Oklahoma State at Tulsa
- SideLine: Oklahoma State has a 89% win probability (-839) … A Grade: -519
- The model thinks they should be 21.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #34 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 111)
- Alan Bowman (#15 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #24 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #54 (Grade: 104) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #15 (122), pass blocking: #14 (122) RB: #18 (122) run blocking: #89 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #92 (Grade: 106) baked in: overall: #51 (Grade: 96), pass #45 (Grade: 89), run #57 (Grade: 93)
- Their pace ranks #5 (Grade: 130), as they tend to have about 10% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Tulsa has a 11% win probability (+839) … A Grade: +1840
- The model thinks they should be 21.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #105 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 86)
- Kirk Francis (#54 ranked QB, grade: 108) is listed as 100%, giving them 1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #88 (Grade: 94) and their OC ranks #102 (Grade: 90) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #93 (97), pass blocking: #91 (97) RB: #88 (97) run blocking: #127 (93)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #42 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #122 (Grade: 120), pass #130 (Grade: 127), run #126 (Grade: 125)
- Their pace ranks #33 (Grade: 109), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 67.1
- Projected Score: Oklahoma State 44.5 Tulsa 22.6

Sat 9am ET: North Texas at Texas Tech
- SideLine: North Texas has a 28% win probability (+254) … A Grade: +340
- The model thinks they should be 11 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #85 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 94)
- Chandler Morris (#13 ranked QB, grade: 121) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #36 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #4 (Grade: 127) adding an average of 1.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #52 (109), pass blocking: #39 (112) RB: #64 (104) run blocking: #122 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #97 (Grade: 108) baked in: overall: #128 (Grade: 123), pass #121 (Grade: 122), run #132 (Grade: 132)
- Their pace ranks #2 (Grade: 142), as they tend to have about 13% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Texas Tech has a 72% win probability (-254) … A Grade: -196
- The model thinks they should be 11 point favorites
- They’re ranked #65 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Behren Morton (#88 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #54 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #131 (Grade: 67) costing them an average of 1.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #50 (110), pass blocking: #10 (122) RB: #34 (112) run blocking: #107 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #56 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #82 (Grade: 105), pass #90 (Grade: 107), run #69 (Grade: 101)
- Their pace ranks #8 (Grade: 126), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 77.9
- Projected Score: Texas Tech 44.5 North Texas 33.4

Sat 9am ET: Alabama at Wisconsin
- SideLine: Alabama has a 84% win probability (-545) … A Grade: -376
- The model thinks they should be 15.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #4 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 132)
- Jalen Milroe (#26 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #6 (Grade: 129) and their OC ranks #26 (Grade: 113) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #6 (132), pass blocking: #4 (130) RB: #7 (127) run blocking: #58 (134)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #34 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #5 (Grade: 71), pass #6 (Grade: 58), run #6 (Grade: 60)
- Their pace ranks #31 (Grade: 111), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wisconsin has a 16% win probability (+545) … A Grade: +899
- The model thinks they should be 15.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #31 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Tyler Van Dyke (#49 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #62 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #133 (Grade: 61) costing them an average of 2.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #66 (103), pass blocking: #32 (115) RB: #65 (104) run blocking: #63 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #90 (Grade: 106) baked in: overall: #14 (Grade: 79), pass #10 (Grade: 63), run #15 (Grade: 71)
- Their pace ranks #36 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.7
- Projected Score: Alabama 34.2 Wisconsin 18.5

Sat 9am ET: Central Michigan at Illinois
- SideLine: Central Michigan has a 8% win probability (+1215) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #117 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 82)
- Bert Emanuel Jr. (#99 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #116 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #57 (Grade: 101) costing them an average of 0 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #109 (88), pass blocking: #122 (85) RB: #107 (90) run blocking: #116 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #130 (Grade: 130) baked in: overall: #115 (Grade: 116), pass #112 (Grade: 116), run #109 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #87 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Illinois has a 92% win probability (-1215) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #57 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Luke Altmyer (#63 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #67 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #29 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #80 (101), pass blocking: #82 (101) RB: #95 (95) run blocking: #87 (111)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #43 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #43 (Grade: 93), pass #40 (Grade: 87), run #44 (Grade: 89)
- Their pace ranks #41 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.4
- Projected Score: Illinois 36.6 Central Michigan 14.8

Sat 9am ET: Memphis at Florida State
- SideLine: Memphis has a 50% win probability (-100) … A Grade: +125
- The model thinks they should be 0 point favorites
- They’re ranked #27 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 113)
- Seth Henigan (#8 ranked QB, grade: 127) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #9 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #43 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #11 (125), pass blocking: #13 (122) RB: #14 (123) run blocking: #101 (127)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #101 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #67 (Grade: 101), pass #74 (Grade: 101), run #59 (Grade: 94)
- Their pace ranks #68 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Florida State has a 50% win probability (+100) … A Grade: +125
- The model thinks they should be 0 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #35 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 110)
- DJ Uiagalelei (#40 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #38 (Grade: 109) and their OC ranks #134 (Grade: 57) costing them an average of 2.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #32 (115), pass blocking: #28 (116) RB: #41 (110) run blocking: #79 (116)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #113 (Grade: 116) baked in: overall: #33 (Grade: 91), pass #29 (Grade: 79), run #34 (Grade: 84)
- Their pace ranks #118 (Grade: 83), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 56.6
- Projected Score: Memphis 28.3 Florida State 28.3

Sat 9am ET: Cincinnati at Miami (OH)
- SideLine: Cincinnati has a 65% win probability (-189) … A Grade: -150
- The model thinks they should be 5.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #80 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 97)
- Brendan Sorsby (#76 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #69 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #111 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #69 (103), pass blocking: #61 (106) RB: #57 (106) run blocking: #102 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #93 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #86 (Grade: 106), pass #76 (Grade: 102), run #90 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #37 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Miami (OH) has a 35% win probability (+189) … A Grade: +244
- The model thinks they should be 5.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #102 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 88)
- Brett Gabbert (#96 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #125 (Grade: 79) and their OC ranks #84 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #122 (84), pass blocking: #130 (73) RB: #120 (85) run blocking: #96 (87)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #19 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #63 (Grade: 100), pass #62 (Grade: 96), run #82 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #129 (Grade: 78), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 47
- Projected Score: Cincinnati 26.4 Miami (OH) 20.6

Sat 9am ET: Louisiana Tech at NC State
- SideLine: Louisiana Tech has a 5% win probability (+1902) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #121 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 80)
- Blake Baker (#113 ranked QB, grade: 88) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #111 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #93 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #98 (91), pass blocking: #83 (100) RB: #101 (92) run blocking: #124 (80)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #106 (Grade: 111) baked in: overall: #126 (Grade: 121), pass #124 (Grade: 124), run #123 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #49 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: NC State has a 95% win probability (-1902) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25 point favorites
- They’re ranked #45 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Grayson McCall (#38 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #53 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #88 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #44 (111), pass blocking: #56 (108) RB: #56 (106) run blocking: #86 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #109 (Grade: 112) baked in: overall: #36 (Grade: 92), pass #37 (Grade: 86), run #28 (Grade: 81)
- Their pace ranks #122 (Grade: 82), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.2
- Projected Score: NC State 38.1 Louisiana Tech 13.1

Sat 9am ET: LSU at South Carolina
- SideLine: LSU has a 74% win probability (-291) … A Grade: -222
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #11 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 120)
- Garrett Nussmeier (#6 ranked QB, grade: 130) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #5 (Grade: 130) and their OC ranks #31 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #7 (132), pass blocking: #6 (129) RB: #12 (124) run blocking: #91 (135)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #64 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #48 (Grade: 96), pass #52 (Grade: 91), run #48 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #88 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: South Carolina has a 26% win probability (+291) … A Grade: +399
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #53 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- LaNorris Sellers (#90 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #78 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #113 (Grade: 86) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #53 (107), pass blocking: #68 (105) RB: #59 (105) run blocking: #75 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #8 (Grade: 76) baked in: overall: #27 (Grade: 88), pass #23 (Grade: 75), run #49 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #40 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 56.5
- Projected Score: LSU 33.5 South Carolina 23

Sat 9am ET: Arkansas State at Michigan
- SideLine: Arkansas State has a 3% win probability (+2925) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #101 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 88)
- Jaylen Raynor (#79 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #77 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #80 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #77 (101), pass blocking: #58 (107) RB: #83 (99) run blocking: #125 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #72 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #123 (Grade: 120), pass #128 (Grade: 125), run #121 (Grade: 123)
- Their pace ranks #46 (Grade: 104), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Michigan has a 97% win probability (-2925) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27 point favorites
- They’re ranked #17 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Jack Tuttle (#57 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #48 (Grade: 106) and their OC ranks #98 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #48 (111), pass blocking: #72 (103) RB: #48 (108) run blocking: #58 (106)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #95 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #7 (Grade: 73), pass #5 (Grade: 58), run #5 (Grade: 58)
- Their pace ranks #133 (Grade: 70), as they tend to have about 10% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 48
- Projected Score: Michigan 37.5 Arkansas State 10.5

Sat 9:45am ET: Boston College at Missouri
- SideLine: Boston College has a 12% win probability (+708) … A Grade: +1354
- The model thinks they should be 17.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #46 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Thomas Castellanos (#52 ranked QB, grade: 109) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #52 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #23 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #64 (105), pass blocking: #48 (109) RB: #54 (106) run blocking: #91 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #16 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #39 (Grade: 93), pass #49 (Grade: 91), run #39 (Grade: 87)
- Their pace ranks #94 (Grade: 91), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Missouri has a 88% win probability (-708) … A Grade: -459
- The model thinks they should be 17.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #7 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 125)
- Brady Cook (#12 ranked QB, grade: 122) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #11 (Grade: 123) and their OC ranks #45 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #8 (128), pass blocking: #7 (126) RB: #20 (121) run blocking: #68 (126)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #22 (Grade: 85) baked in: overall: #13 (Grade: 79), pass #15 (Grade: 68), run #14 (Grade: 70)
- Their pace ranks #67 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Missouri 35.1 Boston College 17.4

Sat 10am ET: Massachusetts at Buffalo
- SideLine: Massachusetts has a 46% win probability (+120) … A Grade: +150
- The model thinks they should be 1.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #127 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 78)
- Taisun Phommachanh (#87 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #109 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #14 (Grade: 120) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #115 (87), pass blocking: #105 (92) RB: #118 (85) run blocking: #127 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #125 (Grade: 124) baked in: overall: #132 (Grade: 126), pass #131 (Grade: 127), run #128 (Grade: 126)
- Their pace ranks #101 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Buffalo has a 54% win probability (-120) … A Grade: +104
- The model thinks they should be 1.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #128 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 78)
- CJ Ogbonna (#133 ranked QB, grade: 75) is listed as 100%, giving them -3.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #131 (Grade: 69) and their OC ranks #76 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #132 (76), pass blocking: #131 (70) RB: #127 (81) run blocking: #110 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #59 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #93 (Grade: 108), pass #101 (Grade: 110), run #84 (Grade: 104)
- Their pace ranks #69 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 47.6
- Projected Score: Buffalo 24.6 Massachusetts 23

Sat 12pm ET: Coastal Carolina at Temple
- SideLine: Coastal Carolina has a 96% win probability (-2584) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #71 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Ethan Vasko (#60 ranked QB, grade: 106) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #59 (Grade: 103) and their OC ranks #33 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #82 (100), pass blocking: #45 (109) RB: #80 (100) run blocking: #102 (106)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #35 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #81 (Grade: 104), pass #78 (Grade: 102), run #87 (Grade: 105)
- Their pace ranks #62 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Temple has a 4% win probability (+2584) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #134 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 66)
- Forrest Brock (#120 ranked QB, grade: 84) is listed as 100%, giving them -2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #132 (Grade: 68) and their OC ranks #55 (Grade: 103) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #130 (79), pass blocking: #134 (65) RB: #129 (80) run blocking: #134 (61)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #116 (Grade: 118) baked in: overall: #133 (Grade: 128), pass #134 (Grade: 134), run #131 (Grade: 131)
- Their pace ranks #45 (Grade: 104), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 54
- Projected Score: Coastal Carolina 40.9 Temple 13.1

Sat 12:30pm ET: Texas A&M at Florida
- SideLine: Texas A&M has a 59% win probability (-146) … A Grade: -117
- The model thinks they should be 3.7 point favorites
- They’re ranked #21 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Conner Weigman (#28 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #19 (Grade: 116) and their OC ranks #100 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #22 (118), pass blocking: #47 (109) RB: #27 (114) run blocking: #77 (127)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #73 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #24 (Grade: 86), pass #27 (Grade: 77), run #24 (Grade: 78)
- Their pace ranks #83 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Florida has a 41% win probability (+146) … A Grade: +184
- The model thinks they should be 3.7 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #38 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Graham Mertz (#55 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #30 (Grade: 112) and their OC ranks #110 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #19 (118), pass blocking: #19 (119) RB: #36 (112) run blocking: #91 (119)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #117 (Grade: 119) baked in: overall: #50 (Grade: 96), pass #48 (Grade: 91), run #41 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #109 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 53.1
- Projected Score: Texas A&M 28.4 Florida 24.7

Sat 12:30pm ET: Washington State vs Washington
- SideLine: Washington State has a 26% win probability (+291) … A Grade: +398
- The model thinks they should be 10.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #55 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 104)
- John Mateer (#17 ranked QB, grade: 119) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #40 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #46 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #47 (111), pass blocking: #57 (107) RB: #50 (108) run blocking: #102 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #12 (Grade: 80) baked in: overall: #70 (Grade: 102), pass #75 (Grade: 102), run #78 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #11 (Grade: 124), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Washington has a 74% win probability (-291) … A Grade: -222
- The model thinks they should be 10.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #25 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 114)
- Will Rogers (#31 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #22 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #87 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #18 (119), pass blocking: #33 (115) RB: #15 (123) run blocking: #83 (119)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #55 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #35 (Grade: 91), pass #34 (Grade: 83), run #37 (Grade: 86)
- Their pace ranks #97 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 59.6
- Projected Score: Washington 35.2 Washington State 24.4

Sat 12:30pm ET: Oregon at Oregon State
- SideLine: Oregon has a 75% win probability (-293) … A Grade: -223
- The model thinks they should be 10.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #10 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 121)
- Dillon Gabriel (#3 ranked QB, grade: 133) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #10 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #112 (Grade: 86) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #5 (132), pass blocking: #21 (118) RB: #5 (128) run blocking: #76 (126)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #58 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #25 (Grade: 86), pass #26 (Grade: 76), run #26 (Grade: 81)
- Their pace ranks #75 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Oregon State has a 25% win probability (+293) … A Grade: +401
- The model thinks they should be 10.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #54 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- Gevani McCoy (#16 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #41 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #85 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #54 (107), pass blocking: #49 (109) RB: #51 (108) run blocking: #94 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #60 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #62 (Grade: 100), pass #59 (Grade: 94), run #67 (Grade: 99)
- Their pace ranks #114 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55
- Projected Score: Oregon 32.7 Oregon State 22.3

Sat 12:30pm ET: West Virginia at Pittsburgh
- SideLine: West Virginia has a 74% win probability (-287) … A Grade: -219
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #28 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 113)
- Garrett Greene (#22 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #16 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #99 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #23 (117), pass blocking: #9 (123) RB: #22 (118) run blocking: #90 (121)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #66 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #44 (Grade: 94), pass #46 (Grade: 90), run #38 (Grade: 86)
- Their pace ranks #74 (Grade: 96), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Pittsburgh has a 26% win probability (+287) … A Grade: +391
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #68 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Eli Holstein (#82 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #75 (Grade: 98) and their OC ranks #20 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #81 (100), pass blocking: #84 (100) RB: #68 (103) run blocking: #95 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #114 (Grade: 116) baked in: overall: #59 (Grade: 98), pass #60 (Grade: 95), run #43 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #14 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 58.1
- Projected Score: West Virginia 34.3 Pittsburgh 23.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Ball State at Miami (FL)
- SideLine: Ball State has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 37.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #123 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 80)
- Kadin Semonza (#126 ranked QB, grade: 81) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #124 (Grade: 80) and their OC ranks #86 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #125 (82), pass blocking: #94 (96) RB: #125 (82) run blocking: #118 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #52 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #114 (Grade: 116), pass #117 (Grade: 118), run #114 (Grade: 119)
- Their pace ranks #115 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Miami (FL) has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 37.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #8 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 124)
- Cam Ward (#10 ranked QB, grade: 124) is listed as 100%, giving them 3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #8 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #42 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #9 (127), pass blocking: #16 (121) RB: #10 (126) run blocking: #67 (123)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #81 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #17 (Grade: 81), pass #13 (Grade: 67), run #18 (Grade: 73)
- Their pace ranks #100 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 49.4
- Projected Score: Miami (FL) 43.6 Ball State 5.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Tulane at Oklahoma
- SideLine: Tulane has a 22% win probability (+362) … A Grade: +519
- The model thinks they should be 11.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #40 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Darian Mensah (#50 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #44 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #51 (Grade: 105) adding an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #51 (109), pass blocking: #46 (109) RB: #37 (111) run blocking: #86 (110)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #94 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #40 (Grade: 93), pass #39 (Grade: 86), run #36 (Grade: 85)
- Their pace ranks #116 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Oklahoma has a 78% win probability (-362) … A Grade: -268
- The model thinks they should be 11.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #15 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Jackson Arnold (#45 ranked QB, grade: 112) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #29 (Grade: 112) and their OC ranks #128 (Grade: 78) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #20 (118), pass blocking: #20 (118) RB: #30 (113) run blocking: #68 (121)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #68 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #12 (Grade: 79), pass #14 (Grade: 68), run #10 (Grade: 66)
- Their pace ranks #26 (Grade: 113), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.6
- Projected Score: Oklahoma 31.8 Tulane 19.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Nevada at Minnesota
- SideLine: Nevada has a 5% win probability (+1973) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #118 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 81)
- Brendon Lewis (#85 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 60%, giving them -0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #120 (Grade: 81) and their OC ranks #30 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #120 (84), pass blocking: #93 (96) RB: #122 (84) run blocking: #120 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #1 (Grade: 66) baked in: overall: #111 (Grade: 115), pass #119 (Grade: 120), run #124 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #90 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Minnesota has a 95% win probability (-1973) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #41 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Max Brosmer (#48 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #70 (Grade: 99) and their OC ranks #106 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #83 (100), pass blocking: #86 (98) RB: #72 (101) run blocking: #73 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #82 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #20 (Grade: 84), pass #20 (Grade: 73), run #20 (Grade: 76)
- Their pace ranks #126 (Grade: 79), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 43.7
- Projected Score: Minnesota 33.5 Nevada 10.2

Sat 12:30pm ET: Notre Dame at Purdue
- SideLine: Notre Dame has a 70% win probability (-232) … A Grade: -181
- The model thinks they should be 8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #30 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Riley Leonard (#67 ranked QB, grade: 104) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #42 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #108 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #30 (115), pass blocking: #41 (111) RB: #28 (114) run blocking: #76 (111)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #79 (Grade: 102) baked in: overall: #23 (Grade: 86), pass #24 (Grade: 76), run #25 (Grade: 79)
- Their pace ranks #121 (Grade: 82), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Purdue has a 30% win probability (+232) … A Grade: +306
- The model thinks they should be 8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #66 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Hudson Card (#58 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #64 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #41 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #73 (102), pass blocking: #40 (111) RB: #81 (99) run blocking: #97 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #85 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #68 (Grade: 101), pass #65 (Grade: 97), run #68 (Grade: 99)
- Their pace ranks #24 (Grade: 114), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.2
- Projected Score: Notre Dame 30.1 Purdue 22.1

Sat 1pm ET: Appalachian State at East Carolina
- SideLine: Appalachian State has a 66% win probability (-193) … A Grade: -152
- The model thinks they should be 6.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #63 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Joey Aguilar (#68 ranked QB, grade: 104) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #35 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #47 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #41 (113), pass blocking: #42 (111) RB: #35 (112) run blocking: #106 (115)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #120 (Grade: 122) baked in: overall: #103 (Grade: 111), pass #88 (Grade: 106), run #100 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #30 (Grade: 112), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: East Carolina has a 34% win probability (+193) … A Grade: +249
- The model thinks they should be 6.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #93 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 91)
- Jake Garcia (#114 ranked QB, grade: 88) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #118 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #96 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #107 (89), pass blocking: #104 (92) RB: #110 (88) run blocking: #100 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #25 (Grade: 86) baked in: overall: #57 (Grade: 98), pass #70 (Grade: 100), run #46 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #29 (Grade: 112), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 57.6
- Projected Score: Appalachian State 32.1 East Carolina 25.5

Sat 1pm ET: Troy at Iowa
- SideLine: Troy has a 3% win probability (+3564) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #98 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 89)
- Goose Crowder (#91 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #96 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #94 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #97 (93), pass blocking: #90 (97) RB: #93 (96) run blocking: #109 (93)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #100 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #99 (Grade: 110), pass #95 (Grade: 109), run #95 (Grade: 109)
- Their pace ranks #128 (Grade: 78), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Iowa has a 97% win probability (-3564) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #20 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 117)
- Cade McNamara (#97 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #89 (Grade: 94) and their OC ranks #107 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #91 (97), pass blocking: #97 (95) RB: #87 (97) run blocking: #41 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #104 (Grade: 111) baked in: overall: #2 (Grade: 60), pass #2 (Grade: 41), run #2 (Grade: 40)
- Their pace ranks #93 (Grade: 91), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 38.4
- Projected Score: Iowa 31.9 Troy 6.5

Sat 1:15pm ET: UAB at Arkansas
- SideLine: UAB has a 8% win probability (+1120) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 24.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #108 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Jacob Zeno (#75 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them 0 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #80 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #104 (Grade: 89) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #68 (103), pass blocking: #89 (97) RB: #75 (101) run blocking: #124 (101)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #133 (Grade: 132) baked in: overall: #130 (Grade: 124), pass #125 (Grade: 124), run #125 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #15 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Arkansas has a 92% win probability (-1120) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 24.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #44 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Taylen Green (#20 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #34 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #95 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #39 (113), pass blocking: #43 (110) RB: #32 (112) run blocking: #94 (112)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #88 (Grade: 105) baked in: overall: #58 (Grade: 98), pass #58 (Grade: 94), run #51 (Grade: 91)
- Their pace ranks #19 (Grade: 117), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 67
- Projected Score: Arkansas 45.7 UAB 21.3

Sat 1:30pm ET: Utah at Utah State
- SideLine: Utah has a 97% win probability (-3340) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 29.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #14 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 119)
- Cameron Rising (#52 ranked QB, grade: 109) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #33 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #124 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #24 (117), pass blocking: #35 (113) RB: #33 (112) run blocking: #65 (120)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #15 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #8 (Grade: 75), pass #11 (Grade: 65), run #9 (Grade: 65)
- Their pace ranks #112 (Grade: 86), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Utah State has a 3% win probability (+3340) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 29.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #116 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 83)
- Spencer Petras (#93 ranked QB, grade: 95) is listed as 60%, giving them -0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #91 (Grade: 91) and their OC ranks #117 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #70 (103), pass blocking: #112 (91) RB: #63 (104) run blocking: #123 (96)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #77 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #129 (Grade: 123), pass #123 (Grade: 123), run #133 (Grade: 134)
- Their pace ranks #32 (Grade: 110), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Utah 40.8 Utah State 11.7

Sat 3pm ET: Virginia Tech at Old Dominion
- SideLine: Virginia Tech has a 86% win probability (-596) … A Grade: -403
- The model thinks they should be 16.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #48 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Kyron Drones (#51 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #50 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #35 (Grade: 111) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #37 (114), pass blocking: #66 (105) RB: #31 (112) run blocking: #82 (101)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #83 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #42 (Grade: 93), pass #31 (Grade: 82), run #54 (Grade: 92)
- Their pace ranks #82 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Old Dominion has a 14% win probability (+596) … A Grade: +1027
- The model thinks they should be 16.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #103 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 87)
- Grant Wilson (#122 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #115 (Grade: 84) and their OC ranks #18 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #108 (88), pass blocking: #121 (85) RB: #106 (91) run blocking: #115 (83)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #5 (Grade: 72) baked in: overall: #88 (Grade: 107), pass #111 (Grade: 115), run #85 (Grade: 104)
- Their pace ranks #3 (Grade: 138), as they tend to have about 12% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55.7
- Projected Score: Virginia Tech 36.3 Old Dominion 19.4

Sat 3pm ET: UTEP at Liberty
- SideLine: UTEP has a 4% win probability (+2362) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.7 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #126 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Skyler Locklear (#108 ranked QB, grade: 90) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #123 (Grade: 80) and their OC ranks #66 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #124 (82), pass blocking: #95 (95) RB: #128 (80) run blocking: #118 (78)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #99 (Grade: 109) baked in: overall: #118 (Grade: 117), pass #116 (Grade: 118), run #116 (Grade: 120)
- Their pace ranks #79 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Liberty has a 96% win probability (-2362) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.7 point favorites
- They’re ranked #36 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Kaidon Salter (#39 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #17 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #24 (Grade: 115) adding an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #26 (116), pass blocking: #60 (107) RB: #19 (121) run blocking: #98 (131)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #128 (Grade: 125) baked in: overall: #72 (Grade: 102), pass #66 (Grade: 98), run #58 (Grade: 94)
- Their pace ranks #70 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55.9
- Projected Score: Liberty 41.8 UTEP 14.1

Sat 3pm ET: Connecticut at Duke
- SideLine: Connecticut has a 8% win probability (+1152) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #114 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 84)
- Nick Evers (#119 ranked QB, grade: 84) is listed as 60%, giving them -1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #108 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #114 (Grade: 85) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #119 (85), pass blocking: #108 (92) RB: #117 (85) run blocking: #113 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #129 (Grade: 128) baked in: overall: #110 (Grade: 115), pass #106 (Grade: 113), run #104 (Grade: 111)
- Their pace ranks #61 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Duke has a 92% win probability (-1152) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #52 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- Maalik Murphy (#62 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #74 (Grade: 98) and their OC ranks #97 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #84 (100), pass blocking: #37 (112) RB: #86 (97) run blocking: #80 (95)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #48 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #28 (Grade: 88), pass #30 (Grade: 80), run #30 (Grade: 82)
- Their pace ranks #39 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.1
- Projected Score: Duke 36.2 Connecticut 14.9

Sat 3pm ET: Florida International at Florida Atlantic
- SideLine: Florida International has a 46% win probability (+115) … A Grade: +144
- The model thinks they should be 1.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #112 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Keyone Jenkins (#110 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #107 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #7 (Grade: 123) adding an average of 1.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #104 (90), pass blocking: #119 (86) RB: #102 (92) run blocking: #109 (88)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #76 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #109 (Grade: 114), pass #99 (Grade: 109), run #115 (Grade: 120)
- Their pace ranks #47 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Florida Atlantic has a 54% win probability (-115) … A Grade: +108
- The model thinks they should be 1.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #113 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 84)
- Cam Fancher (#123 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #128 (Grade: 78) and their OC ranks #126 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #121 (84), pass blocking: #96 (95) RB: #131 (78) run blocking: #103 (83)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #53 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #84 (Grade: 105), pass #80 (Grade: 103), run #94 (Grade: 107)
- Their pace ranks #55 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 49.2
- Projected Score: Florida Atlantic 25.3 Florida International 23.9

Sat 3:30pm ET: Ole Miss at Wake Forest
- SideLine: Ole Miss has a 96% win probability (-2591) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 30.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #5 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 132)
- Jaxson Dart (#1 ranked QB, grade: 139) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #3 (Grade: 132) and their OC ranks #121 (Grade: 82) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #1 (136), pass blocking: #5 (129) RB: #2 (131) run blocking: #61 (136)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #40 (Grade: 93) baked in: overall: #9 (Grade: 75), pass #9 (Grade: 61), run #11 (Grade: 66)
- Their pace ranks #13 (Grade: 120), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wake Forest has a 4% win probability (+2591) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 30.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #76 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Hank Bachmeier (#29 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #65 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #118 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #79 (101), pass blocking: #31 (115) RB: #74 (101) run blocking: #104 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #102 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #79 (Grade: 104), pass #82 (Grade: 104), run #63 (Grade: 97)
- Their pace ranks #22 (Grade: 115), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.7
- Projected Score: Ole Miss 47.1 Wake Forest 16.6

Sat 4pm ET: Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
- SideLine: Western Kentucky has a 72% win probability (-255) … A Grade: -197
- The model thinks they should be 9.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #92 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 91)
- T.J. Finley (#65 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #81 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #119 (Grade: 83) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #76 (102), pass blocking: #62 (106) RB: #89 (97) run blocking: #108 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #131 (Grade: 130) baked in: overall: #105 (Grade: 112), pass #91 (Grade: 108), run #99 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #27 (Grade: 113), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Middle Tennessee has a 28% win probability (+255) … A Grade: +341
- The model thinks they should be 9.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #125 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Nicholas Vattiato (#101 ranked QB, grade: 92) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #121 (Grade: 81) and their OC ranks #79 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #114 (87), pass blocking: #127 (81) RB: #108 (90) run blocking: #119 (81)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #75 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #119 (Grade: 118), pass #118 (Grade: 119), run #122 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #16 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.2
- Projected Score: Western Kentucky 34.9 Middle Tennessee 25.3

Sat 4pm ET: Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan
- SideLine: Jacksonville State has a 49% win probability (+103) … A Grade: +129
- The model thinks they should be 0.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #107 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Logan Smothers (#116 ranked QB, grade: 87) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #103 (Grade: 88) and their OC ranks #77 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #96 (95), pass blocking: #98 (95) RB: #103 (92) run blocking: #114 (97)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #126 (Grade: 124) baked in: overall: #112 (Grade: 115), pass #108 (Grade: 114), run #110 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #12 (Grade: 123), as they tend to have about 7% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Eastern Michigan has a 51% win probability (-103) … A Grade: +121
- The model thinks they should be 0.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #115 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 83)
- Cole Snyder (#118 ranked QB, grade: 86) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #126 (Grade: 78) and their OC ranks #78 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #129 (80), pass blocking: #124 (83) RB: #130 (79) run blocking: #112 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #54 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #92 (Grade: 107), pass #103 (Grade: 112), run #74 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #86 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Eastern Michigan 26.4 Jacksonville State 26.1

Sat 4pm ET: Vanderbilt at Georgia State
- SideLine: Vanderbilt has a 78% win probability (-353) … A Grade: -263
- The model thinks they should be 12 point favorites
- They’re ranked #79 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 97)
- Diego Pavia (#27 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #61 (Grade: 102) and their OC ranks #27 (Grade: 113) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #67 (103), pass blocking: #77 (102) RB: #79 (100) run blocking: #109 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #71 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #91 (Grade: 107), pass #96 (Grade: 109), run #89 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #77 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Georgia State has a 22% win probability (+353) … A Grade: +504
- The model thinks they should be 12 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #119 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 81)
- Christian Veilleux (#121 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #112 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #63 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #106 (90), pass blocking: #114 (89) RB: #105 (91) run blocking: #126 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #57 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #121 (Grade: 119), pass #129 (Grade: 126), run #119 (Grade: 121)
- Their pace ranks #92 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 53.8
- Projected Score: Vanderbilt 32.9 Georgia State 20.9

Sat 4pm ET: UTSA at Texas
- SideLine: UTSA has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 41.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #84 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 94)
- Owen McCown (#81 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #79 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #130 (Grade: 68) costing them an average of 1.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #61 (105), pass blocking: #70 (103) RB: #60 (105) run blocking: #106 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #115 (Grade: 117) baked in: overall: #89 (Grade: 107), pass #86 (Grade: 106), run #72 (Grade: 101)
- Their pace ranks #6 (Grade: 130), as they tend to have about 9% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Texas has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 41.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #3 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 134)
- Quinn Ewers (#5 ranked QB, grade: 132) is listed as 100%, giving them 4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #2 (Grade: 132) and their OC ranks #32 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #2 (134), pass blocking: #2 (133) RB: #8 (127) run blocking: #59 (135)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #7 (Grade: 74) baked in: overall: #6 (Grade: 72), pass #7 (Grade: 59), run #7 (Grade: 63)
- Their pace ranks #73 (Grade: 96), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.4
- Projected Score: Texas 50.8 UTSA 9.6

Sat 4pm ET: Hawaii at Sam Houston State
- SideLine: Hawaii has a 49% win probability (+105) … A Grade: +130
- The model thinks they should be 0.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #99 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 89)
- Brayden Schager (#88 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #101 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #109 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #100 (91), pass blocking: #69 (104) RB: #111 (88) run blocking: #109 (88)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #41 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #95 (Grade: 109), pass #98 (Grade: 109), run #97 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #102 (Grade: 89), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Sam Houston State has a 51% win probability (-105) … A Grade: +119
- The model thinks they should be 0.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #110 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Hunter Watson (#100 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #110 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #5 (Grade: 125) adding an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #102 (91), pass blocking: #110 (92) RB: #119 (85) run blocking: #109 (79)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #61 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #106 (Grade: 112), pass #97 (Grade: 109), run #111 (Grade: 117)
- Their pace ranks #52 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.2
- Projected Score: Sam Houston State 25.3 Hawaii 24.9

Sat 4pm ET: South Florida at Southern Miss
- SideLine: South Florida has a 85% win probability (-566) … A Grade: -387
- The model thinks they should be 17.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #75 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Byrum Brown (#77 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #57 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #16 (Grade: 119) adding an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #46 (111), pass blocking: #85 (100) RB: #46 (108) run blocking: #106 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #74 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #85 (Grade: 106), pass #87 (Grade: 106), run #88 (Grade: 105)
- Their pace ranks #1 (Grade: 142), as they tend to have about 14% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Southern Miss has a 15% win probability (+566) … A Grade: +951
- The model thinks they should be 17.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #124 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Tate Rodemaker (#98 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #119 (Grade: 82) and their OC ranks #91 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #110 (88), pass blocking: #120 (86) RB: #124 (84) run blocking: #122 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #103 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #120 (Grade: 119), pass #122 (Grade: 122), run #118 (Grade: 121)
- Their pace ranks #58 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.4
- Projected Score: South Florida 40.5 Southern Miss 22.9

Sat 4:30pm ET: Toledo at Mississippi State
- SideLine: Toledo has a 26% win probability (+281) … A Grade: +382
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #81 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 96)
- Tucker Gleason (#109 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #93 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #48 (Grade: 106) adding an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #94 (96), pass blocking: #103 (93) RB: #99 (93) run blocking: #86 (96)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #132 (Grade: 131) baked in: overall: #54 (Grade: 97), pass #38 (Grade: 86), run #40 (Grade: 87)
- Their pace ranks #81 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Mississippi State has a 74% win probability (-281) … A Grade: -215
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #56 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 104)
- Blake Shapen (#34 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #56 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #75 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #57 (106), pass blocking: #55 (108) RB: #62 (105) run blocking: #91 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #96 (Grade: 108) baked in: overall: #56 (Grade: 97), pass #53 (Grade: 91), run #55 (Grade: 92)
- Their pace ranks #78 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 48.8
- Projected Score: Mississippi State 29.1 Toledo 19.7

Sat 4:30pm ET: New Mexico at Auburn
- SideLine: New Mexico has a 1% win probability (+7113) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 34 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #130 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 74)
- Devon Dampier (#73 ranked QB, grade: 101) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #102 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #11 (Grade: 121) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #113 (87), pass blocking: #99 (94) RB: #114 (86) run blocking: #131 (89)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #134 (Grade: 138), pass #133 (Grade: 131), run #134 (Grade: 160)
- Their pace ranks #91 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Auburn has a 99% win probability (-7113) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 34 point favorites
- They’re ranked #32 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Payton Thorne (#61 ranked QB, grade: 106) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #51 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #123 (Grade: 80) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #40 (113), pass blocking: #38 (112) RB: #43 (110) run blocking: #75 (114)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #38 (Grade: 92) baked in: overall: #19 (Grade: 84), pass #22 (Grade: 75), run #21 (Grade: 76)
- Their pace ranks #111 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.9
- Projected Score: Auburn 43.4 New Mexico 9.5

Sat 4:30pm ET: Air Force at Baylor
- SideLine: Air Force has a 31% win probability (+225) … A Grade: +295
- The model thinks they should be 7.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #88 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 93)
- John Busha (#124 ranked QB, grade: 82) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #113 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #125 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #117 (87), pass blocking: #129 (76) RB: #115 (86) run blocking: #91 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #108 (Grade: 112) baked in: overall: #53 (Grade: 96), pass #50 (Grade: 91), run #42 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #131 (Grade: 76), as they tend to have about 8% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Baylor has a 69% win probability (-225) … A Grade: -176
- The model thinks they should be 7.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #73 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Dequan Finn (#86 ranked QB, grade: 97) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #71 (Grade: 99) and their OC ranks #127 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #60 (105), pass blocking: #34 (114) RB: #66 (104) run blocking: #96 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #44 (Grade: 95) baked in: overall: #61 (Grade: 100), pass #64 (Grade: 96), run #66 (Grade: 98)
- Their pace ranks #66 (Grade: 100), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 44.7
- Projected Score: Baylor 25.9 Air Force 18.8

Sat 4:30pm ET: UCF at TCU
- SideLine: UCF has a 62% win probability (-160) … A Grade: -128
- The model thinks they should be 5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #24 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 114)
- KJ Jefferson (#33 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #21 (Grade: 116) and their OC ranks #90 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #27 (116), pass blocking: #15 (121) RB: #17 (122) run blocking: #83 (115)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #65 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #31 (Grade: 90), pass #32 (Grade: 83), run #31 (Grade: 83)
- Their pace ranks #51 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: TCU has a 38% win probability (+160) … A Grade: +204
- The model thinks they should be 5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #43 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Josh Hoover (#41 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #45 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #103 (Grade: 89) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #34 (115), pass blocking: #30 (115) RB: #47 (108) run blocking: #88 (110)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #78 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #45 (Grade: 95), pass #43 (Grade: 88), run #47 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #4 (Grade: 136), as they tend to have about 11% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 62.6
- Projected Score: UCF 33.8 TCU 28.8

Sat 4:30pm ET: Georgia at Kentucky
- SideLine: Georgia has a 95% win probability (-1950) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #1 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 137)
- Carson Beck (#4 ranked QB, grade: 133) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #1 (Grade: 135) and their OC ranks #64 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #3 (134), pass blocking: #1 (139) RB: #1 (131) run blocking: #56 (137)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #13 (Grade: 81) baked in: overall: #4 (Grade: 68), pass #4 (Grade: 56), run #4 (Grade: 55)
- Their pace ranks #127 (Grade: 79), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Kentucky has a 5% win probability (+1950) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #58 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Brock Vandagriff (#78 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #76 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #115 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #56 (106), pass blocking: #111 (91) RB: #49 (108) run blocking: #84 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #98 (Grade: 109) baked in: overall: #34 (Grade: 91), pass #35 (Grade: 84), run #29 (Grade: 82)
- Their pace ranks #132 (Grade: 73), as they tend to have about 9% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 44.4
- Projected Score: Georgia 33.9 Kentucky 10.5

Sat 4:30pm ET: Colorado at Colorado State
- SideLine: Colorado has a 71% win probability (-245) … A Grade: -190
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #59 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Shedeur Sanders (#7 ranked QB, grade: 130) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #46 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #116 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #35 (114), pass blocking: #88 (97) RB: #55 (106) run blocking: #102 (109)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #32 (Grade: 89) baked in: overall: #76 (Grade: 103), pass #77 (Grade: 102), run #81 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #17 (Grade: 118), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Colorado State has a 29% win probability (+245) … A Grade: +325
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #96 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 90)
- Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (#106 ranked QB, grade: 90) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #84 (Grade: 95) and their OC ranks #60 (Grade: 101) costing them an average of 0 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #86 (99), pass blocking: #92 (96) RB: #91 (96) run blocking: #115 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #69 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #108 (Grade: 113), pass #110 (Grade: 115), run #108 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #25 (Grade: 114), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.6
- Projected Score: Colorado 36.5 Colorado State 27.1

Sat 4:30pm ET: Indiana at UCLA
- SideLine: Indiana has a 56% win probability (-126) … A Grade: -101
- The model thinks they should be 2.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #49 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Kurtis Rourke (#36 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #55 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #89 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #63 (105), pass blocking: #44 (109) RB: #67 (103) run blocking: #87 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #62 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #38 (Grade: 92), pass #41 (Grade: 87), run #33 (Grade: 84)
- Their pace ranks #80 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: UCLA has a 44% win probability (+126) … A Grade: +159
- The model thinks they should be 2.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #62 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Ethan Garbers (#94 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #82 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #101 (Grade: 91) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #72 (103), pass blocking: #59 (107) RB: #78 (100) run blocking: #91 (97)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #29 (Grade: 88) baked in: overall: #46 (Grade: 95), pass #51 (Grade: 91), run #52 (Grade: 91)
- Their pace ranks #43 (Grade: 106), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.6
- Projected Score: Indiana 26.4 UCLA 24.2

Sat 4:45pm ET: Kent State at Tennessee
- SideLine: Kent State has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 51.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #133 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 71)
- Devin Kargman (#129 ranked QB, grade: 77) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #130 (Grade: 73) and their OC ranks #19 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #131 (79), pass blocking: #128 (81) RB: #133 (73) run blocking: #129 (70)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #134 (Grade: 139) baked in: overall: #131 (Grade: 126), pass #132 (Grade: 129), run #120 (Grade: 123)
- Their pace ranks #59 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Tennessee has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 51.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #6 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 125)
- Nico Iamaleava (#14 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #12 (Grade: 123) and their OC ranks #22 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #10 (126), pass blocking: #8 (123) RB: #13 (123) run blocking: #67 (123)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #26 (Grade: 87) baked in: overall: #11 (Grade: 77), pass #12 (Grade: 67), run #12 (Grade: 68)
- Their pace ranks #72 (Grade: 98), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.7
- Projected Score: Tennessee 52.1 Kent State 0.6

Sat 5pm ET: Rice at Houston
- SideLine: Rice has a 49% win probability (+105) … A Grade: +131
- The model thinks they should be 0.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #91 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 92)
- E.J. Warner (#104 ranked QB, grade: 91) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #85 (Grade: 95) and their OC ranks #53 (Grade: 104) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #88 (99), pass blocking: #81 (101) RB: #76 (101) run blocking: #110 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #63 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #100 (Grade: 110), pass #100 (Grade: 110), run #101 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #64 (Grade: 100), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Houston has a 51% win probability (-105) … A Grade: +118
- The model thinks they should be 0.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #97 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 90)
- Donovan Smith (#83 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #97 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #122 (Grade: 82) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #74 (102), pass blocking: #80 (101) RB: #90 (97) run blocking: #113 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #9 (Grade: 77) baked in: overall: #94 (Grade: 108), pass #107 (Grade: 113), run #96 (Grade: 109)
- Their pace ranks #85 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Houston 26.5 Rice 26

Sat 5pm ET: Maryland at Virginia
- SideLine: Maryland has a 72% win probability (-262) … A Grade: -202
- The model thinks they should be 9.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #37 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Billy Edwards Jr. (#42 ranked QB, grade: 113) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #58 (Grade: 103) and their OC ranks #34 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #62 (105), pass blocking: #76 (102) RB: #73 (101) run blocking: #76 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #110 (Grade: 113) baked in: overall: #26 (Grade: 87), pass #25 (Grade: 76), run #23 (Grade: 77)
- Their pace ranks #37 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Virginia has a 28% win probability (+262) … A Grade: +353
- The model thinks they should be 9.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #82 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 96)
- Anthony Colandrea (#47 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #63 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #21 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #65 (104), pass blocking: #78 (101) RB: #94 (96) run blocking: #106 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #70 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #97 (Grade: 109), pass #89 (Grade: 106), run #106 (Grade: 113)
- Their pace ranks #9 (Grade: 125), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 59.4
- Projected Score: Maryland 34.6 Virginia 24.8

Sat 6pm ET: BYU at Wyoming
- SideLine: BYU has a 70% win probability (-232) … A Grade: -181
- The model thinks they should be 7.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #67 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Jake Retzlaff (#84 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #66 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #92 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #58 (106), pass blocking: #52 (108) RB: #69 (103) run blocking: #100 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #11 (Grade: 79) baked in: overall: #65 (Grade: 101), pass #72 (Grade: 100), run #73 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #48 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wyoming has a 30% win probability (+232) … A Grade: +306
- The model thinks they should be 7.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #104 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 87)
- Evan Svoboda (#128 ranked QB, grade: 78) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #106 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #120 (Grade: 83) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #111 (87), pass blocking: #73 (103) RB: #121 (85) run blocking: #108 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #102 (Grade: 110), pass #93 (Grade: 108), run #93 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #119 (Grade: 83), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.3
- Projected Score: BYU 29.1 Wyoming 21.2

Sat 7:30pm ET: New Mexico State at Fresno State
- SideLine: New Mexico State has a 13% win probability (+685) … A Grade: +1283
- The model thinks they should be 17.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #111 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Parker Awad (#130 ranked QB, grade: 76) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #117 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #38 (Grade: 109) adding an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #103 (90), pass blocking: #126 (82) RB: #100 (92) run blocking: #111 (91)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #49 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #101 (Grade: 110), pass #102 (Grade: 111), run #102 (Grade: 111)
- Their pace ranks #106 (Grade: 88), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Fresno State has a 87% win probability (-685) … A Grade: -449
- The model thinks they should be 17.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #61 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 102)
- Mikey Keene (#21 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #39 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #70 (Grade: 99) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #45 (111), pass blocking: #64 (105) RB: #44 (110) run blocking: #104 (109)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #67 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #83 (Grade: 105), pass #83 (Grade: 104), run #79 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #106 (Grade: 88), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.6
- Projected Score: Fresno State 33.9 New Mexico State 16.7

Sat 7:30pm ET: San Diego State at California
- SideLine: San Diego State has a 17% win probability (+504) … A Grade: +804
- The model thinks they should be 14.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #89 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 92)
- Danny O’Neil (#111 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #100 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #73 (Grade: 98) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #101 (91), pass blocking: #101 (93) RB: #52 (107) run blocking: #99 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #45 (Grade: 95) baked in: overall: #74 (Grade: 102), pass #68 (Grade: 99), run #77 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #117 (Grade: 84), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: California has a 83% win probability (-504) … A Grade: -353
- The model thinks they should be 14.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #51 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Fernando Mendoza (#35 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #47 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #13 (Grade: 120) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #38 (114), pass blocking: #65 (105) RB: #24 (116) run blocking: #92 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #21 (Grade: 84) baked in: overall: #52 (Grade: 96), pass #54 (Grade: 92), run #62 (Grade: 96)
- Their pace ranks #21 (Grade: 116), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.9
- Projected Score: California 33.4 San Diego State 18.5

Sat 7:30pm ET: Kennesaw State at San Jose State
- SideLine: Kennesaw State has a 8% win probability (+1087) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 19.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #131 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 72)
- Davis Bryson (#131 ranked QB, grade: 75) is listed as 100%, giving them -3.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #133 (Grade: 67) and their OC ranks #82 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #133 (76), pass blocking: #133 (65) RB: #132 (77) run blocking: #125 (72)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #20 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #116 (Grade: 116), pass #127 (Grade: 125), run #113 (Grade: 119)
- Their pace ranks #125 (Grade: 80), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: San Jose State has a 92% win probability (-1087) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 19.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #87 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 93)
- Emmett Brown (#69 ranked QB, grade: 103) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #92 (Grade: 91) and their OC ranks #67 (Grade: 99) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #90 (98), pass blocking: #107 (92) RB: #104 (91) run blocking: #103 (92)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #16 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #77 (Grade: 103), pass #79 (Grade: 103), run #80 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #98 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 42.7
- Projected Score: San Jose State 30.9 Kennesaw State 11.8

CFB Week 3 Projections

ProfessorSides Published 1 week ago

All times are listed as Pacific but that’ll get fixed for the midweek update
Picks coming… soon?

Thur 4:30pm: Arizona State +9.1 (ML: +237, A grade: +314) at Texas State -9.1 (ML: -237, A grade: -185), Total: 63.9
Fri 4:00pm: UNLV +8.9 (ML: +243, A grade: +322) at Kansas -8.9 (ML: -243, A grade: -188), Total: 57.8
Fri 5:00pm: Arizona +5.5 (ML: +169, A grade: +216) at Kansas State -5.5 (ML: -169, A grade: -135), Total: 60.5
Sat 9:00am: Oklahoma State -21.9 (ML: -839, A grade: -519) at Tulsa +21.9 (ML: +839, A grade: +1840), Total: 67.1
Sat 9:00am: North Texas +11 (ML: +254, A grade: +340) at Texas Tech -11 (ML: -254, A grade: -196), Total: 77.9
Sat 9:00am: Alabama -15.6 (ML: -545, A grade: -376) at Wisconsin +15.6 (ML: +545, A grade: +899), Total: 52.7
Sat 9:00am: Central Michigan +21.8 (ML: +1215, A grade: N/A) at Illinois -21.8 (ML: -1215, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.4
Sat 9:00am: Memphis 0 (ML: -100, A grade: +125) at Florida State +0 (ML: +100, A grade: +125), Total: 56.6
Sat 9:00am: Cincinnati -5.8 (ML: -189, A grade: -150) at Miami (OH) +5.8 (ML: +189, A grade: +244), Total: 47.1
Sat 9:00am: Louisiana Tech +25 (ML: +1902, A grade: N/A) at NC State -25 (ML: -1902, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.3
Sat 9:00am: LSU -10.5 (ML: -291, A grade: -222) at South Carolina +10.5 (ML: +291, A grade: +399), Total: 56.4
Sat 9:00am: Arkansas State +27 (ML: +2925, A grade: N/A) at Michigan -27 (ML: -2925, A grade: N/A), Total: 47.9
Sat 9:45am: Boston College +17.8 (ML: +708, A grade: +1354) at Missouri -17.8 (ML: -708, A grade: -459), Total: 52.5
Sat 10:00am: Massachusetts +1.6 (ML: +120, A grade: +150) at Buffalo -1.6 (ML: -120, A grade: +104), Total: 47.6
Sat 12:00pm: Coastal Carolina -27.8 (ML: -2584, A grade: N/A) at Temple +27.8 (ML: +2584, A grade: N/A), Total: 54
Sat 12:30pm: Texas A&M -3.7 (ML: -146, A grade: -117) at Florida +3.7 (ML: +146, A grade: +184), Total: 53.1
Sat 12:30pm: Washington State +10.8 (ML: +291, A grade: +398) vs Washington -10.8 (ML: -291, A grade: -222), Total: 59.6
Sat 12:30pm: Oregon -10.4 (ML: -293, A grade: -223) at Oregon State +10.4 (ML: +293, A grade: +401), Total: 55
Sat 12:30pm: West Virginia -10.5 (ML: -287, A grade: -219) at Pittsburgh +10.5 (ML: +287, A grade: +391), Total: 58.1
Sat 12:30pm: Ball State +37.8 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Miami (FL) -37.8 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 49.4
Sat 12:30pm: Tulane +11.9 (ML: +362, A grade: +519) at Oklahoma -11.9 (ML: -362, A grade: -268), Total: 51.6
Sat 12:30pm: Nevada +23.4 (ML: +1973, A grade: N/A) at Minnesota -23.4 (ML: -1973, A grade: N/A), Total: 43.7
Sat 12:30pm: Notre Dame -8 (ML: -232, A grade: -181) at Purdue +8 (ML: +232, A grade: +306), Total: 52.2
Sat 1:00pm: Appalachian State -6.6 (ML: -193, A grade: -152) at East Carolina +6.6 (ML: +193, A grade: +249), Total: 57.5
Sat 1:00pm: Troy +25.5 (ML: +3564, A grade: N/A) at Iowa -25.5 (ML: -3564, A grade: N/A), Total: 38.4
Sat 1:15pm: UAB +24.4 (ML: +1120, A grade: N/A) at Arkansas -24.4 (ML: -1120, A grade: N/A), Total: 67
Sat 1:30pm: Utah -29.1 (ML: -3340, A grade: N/A) at Utah State +29.1 (ML: +3340, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.5
Sat 3:00pm: Virginia Tech -16.9 (ML: -596, A grade: -403) at Old Dominion +16.9 (ML: +596, A grade: +1027), Total: 55.7
Sat 3:00pm: UTEP +27.7 (ML: +2362, A grade: N/A) at Liberty -27.7 (ML: -2362, A grade: N/A), Total: 56
Sat 3:00pm: Connecticut +21.3 (ML: +1152, A grade: N/A) at Duke -21.3 (ML: -1152, A grade: N/A), Total: 51.2
Sat 3:00pm: Florida International +1.3 (ML: +115, A grade: +144) at Florida Atlantic -1.3 (ML: -115, A grade: +108), Total: 49.2
Sat 3:30pm: Ole Miss -30.4 (ML: -2591, A grade: N/A) at Wake Forest +30.4 (ML: +2591, A grade: N/A), Total: 63.7
Sat 4:00pm: Western Kentucky -9.6 (ML: -255, A grade: -197) at Middle Tennessee +9.6 (ML: +255, A grade: +341), Total: 60.2
Sat 4:00pm: Jacksonville State +0.3 (ML: +103, A grade: +129) at Eastern Michigan -0.3 (ML: -103, A grade: +121), Total: 52.4
Sat 4:00pm: Vanderbilt -12 (ML: -353, A grade: -263) at Georgia State +12 (ML: +353, A grade: +504), Total: 53.7
Sat 4:00pm: UTSA +41.2 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Texas -41.2 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 60.4
Sat 4:00pm: Hawaii +0.4 (ML: +105, A grade: +130) at Sam Houston State -0.4 (ML: -105, A grade: +119), Total: 50.2
Sat 4:00pm: South Florida -17.6 (ML: -566, A grade: -387) at Southern Miss +17.6 (ML: +566, A grade: +951), Total: 63.3
Sat 4:30pm: Toledo +9.4 (ML: +281, A grade: +382) at Mississippi State -9.4 (ML: -281, A grade: -215), Total: 48.8
Sat 4:30pm: New Mexico +34 (ML: +7113, A grade: N/A) at Auburn -34 (ML: -7113, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.9
Sat 4:30pm: Air Force +7.1 (ML: +225, A grade: +295) at Baylor -7.1 (ML: -225, A grade: -176), Total: 44.6
Sat 4:30pm: UCF -5 (ML: -160, A grade: -128) at TCU +5 (ML: +160, A grade: +204), Total: 62.6
Sat 4:30pm: Georgia -23.5 (ML: -1950, A grade: N/A) at Kentucky +23.5 (ML: +1950, A grade: N/A), Total: 44.4
Sat 4:30pm: Colorado -9.4 (ML: -245, A grade: -190) at Colorado State +9.4 (ML: +245, A grade: +325), Total: 63.6
Sat 4:30pm: Indiana -2.2 (ML: -126, A grade: -101) at UCLA +2.2 (ML: +126, A grade: +159), Total: 50.5
Sat 4:45pm: Kent State +51.5 (ML: +10000, A grade: N/A) at Tennessee -51.5 (ML: -10000, A grade: N/A), Total: 52.7
Sat 5:00pm: Rice +0.5 (ML: +105, A grade: +131) at Houston -0.5 (ML: -105, A grade: +118), Total: 52.4
Sat 5:00pm: Maryland -9.8 (ML: -262, A grade: -202) at Virginia +9.8 (ML: +262, A grade: +353), Total: 59.4
Sat 6:00pm: BYU -7.8 (ML: -232, A grade: -181) at Wyoming +7.8 (ML: +232, A grade: +306), Total: 50.3
Sat 7:30pm: New Mexico State +17.2 (ML: +685, A grade: +1283) at Fresno State -17.2 (ML: -685, A grade: -449), Total: 50.5
Sat 7:30pm: San Diego State +14.9 (ML: +504, A grade: +804) at California -14.9 (ML: -504, A grade: -353), Total: 51.9
Sat 7:30pm: Kennesaw State +19.1 (ML: +1087, A grade: N/A) at San Jose State -19.1 (ML: -1087, A grade: N/A), Total: 42.7

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Thur 4:30pm ET: Arizona State at Texas State
- SideLine: Arizona State has a 30% win probability (+237) … A Grade: +314
- The model thinks they should be 9.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #72 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Sam Leavitt (#74 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them 0 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #68 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #3 (Grade: 127) adding an average of 1.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #87 (99), pass blocking: #74 (102) RB: #40 (111) run blocking: #104 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #2 (Grade: 67) baked in: overall: #66 (Grade: 101), pass #85 (Grade: 104), run #75 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #57 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Texas State has a 70% win probability (-237) … A Grade: -185
- The model thinks they should be 9.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #47 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Jordan McCloud (#19 ranked QB, grade: 118) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #23 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #6 (Grade: 124) adding an average of 1.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #36 (114), pass blocking: #23 (117) RB: #39 (111) run blocking: #101 (116)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #33 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #80 (Grade: 104), pass #73 (Grade: 101), run #92 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #7 (Grade: 127), as they tend to have about 9% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.9
- Projected Score: Texas State 36.5 Arizona State 27.4

Fri 4pm ET: UNLV at Kansas
- SideLine: UNLV has a 29% win probability (+243) … A Grade: +322
- The model thinks they should be 8.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #42 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Matthew Sluka (#29 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #25 (Grade: 114) and their OC ranks #17 (Grade: 117) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #21 (118), pass blocking: #36 (112) RB: #45 (110) run blocking: #100 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #14 (Grade: 81) baked in: overall: #69 (Grade: 102), pass #71 (Grade: 100), run #76 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #71 (Grade: 98), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Kansas has a 71% win probability (-243) … A Grade: -188
- The model thinks they should be 8.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #22 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Jalon Daniels (#46 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #14 (Grade: 120) and their OC ranks #105 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #13 (124), pass blocking: #11 (122) RB: #11 (125) run blocking: #85 (134)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #30 (Grade: 88) baked in: overall: #37 (Grade: 92), pass #36 (Grade: 85), run #45 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #110 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 57.8
- Projected Score: Kansas 33.3 UNLV 24.5

Fri 5pm ET: Arizona at Kansas State
- SideLine: Arizona has a 37% win probability (+169) … A Grade: +216
- The model thinks they should be 5.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #23 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Noah Fifita (#9 ranked QB, grade: 127) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #7 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #11 (Grade: 121) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #12 (124), pass blocking: #12 (122) RB: #9 (127) run blocking: #88 (113)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #55 (Grade: 97), pass #42 (Grade: 88), run #50 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #60 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Kansas State has a 63% win probability (-169) … A Grade: -135
- The model thinks they should be 5.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #16 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Avery Johnson (#44 ranked QB, grade: 112) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #15 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #37 (Grade: 109) adding an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #16 (121), pass blocking: #24 (117) RB: #16 (122) run blocking: #75 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #84 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #21 (Grade: 84), pass #21 (Grade: 75), run #19 (Grade: 73)
- Their pace ranks #54 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.5
- Projected Score: Kansas State 33 Arizona 27.5

Sat 9am ET: Oklahoma State at Tulsa
- SideLine: Oklahoma State has a 89% win probability (-839) … A Grade: -519
- The model thinks they should be 21.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #34 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 111)
- Alan Bowman (#15 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #24 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #54 (Grade: 104) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #15 (122), pass blocking: #14 (122) RB: #18 (122) run blocking: #89 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #92 (Grade: 106) baked in: overall: #51 (Grade: 96), pass #45 (Grade: 89), run #57 (Grade: 93)
- Their pace ranks #5 (Grade: 130), as they tend to have about 10% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Tulsa has a 11% win probability (+839) … A Grade: +1840
- The model thinks they should be 21.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #105 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 86)
- Kirk Francis (#54 ranked QB, grade: 108) is listed as 100%, giving them 1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #88 (Grade: 94) and their OC ranks #102 (Grade: 90) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #93 (97), pass blocking: #91 (97) RB: #88 (97) run blocking: #127 (93)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #42 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #122 (Grade: 120), pass #130 (Grade: 127), run #126 (Grade: 125)
- Their pace ranks #33 (Grade: 109), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 67.1
- Projected Score: Oklahoma State 44.5 Tulsa 22.6

Sat 9am ET: North Texas at Texas Tech
- SideLine: North Texas has a 28% win probability (+254) … A Grade: +340
- The model thinks they should be 11 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #85 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 94)
- Chandler Morris (#13 ranked QB, grade: 121) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #36 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #4 (Grade: 127) adding an average of 1.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #52 (109), pass blocking: #39 (112) RB: #64 (104) run blocking: #122 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #97 (Grade: 108) baked in: overall: #128 (Grade: 123), pass #121 (Grade: 122), run #132 (Grade: 132)
- Their pace ranks #2 (Grade: 142), as they tend to have about 13% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Texas Tech has a 72% win probability (-254) … A Grade: -196
- The model thinks they should be 11 point favorites
- They’re ranked #65 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Behren Morton (#88 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #54 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #131 (Grade: 67) costing them an average of 1.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #50 (110), pass blocking: #10 (122) RB: #34 (112) run blocking: #107 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #56 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #82 (Grade: 105), pass #90 (Grade: 107), run #69 (Grade: 101)
- Their pace ranks #8 (Grade: 126), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 77.9
- Projected Score: Texas Tech 44.5 North Texas 33.4

Sat 9am ET: Alabama at Wisconsin
- SideLine: Alabama has a 84% win probability (-545) … A Grade: -376
- The model thinks they should be 15.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #4 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 132)
- Jalen Milroe (#26 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #6 (Grade: 129) and their OC ranks #26 (Grade: 113) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #6 (132), pass blocking: #4 (130) RB: #7 (127) run blocking: #58 (134)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #34 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #5 (Grade: 71), pass #6 (Grade: 58), run #6 (Grade: 60)
- Their pace ranks #31 (Grade: 111), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wisconsin has a 16% win probability (+545) … A Grade: +899
- The model thinks they should be 15.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #31 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Tyler Van Dyke (#49 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #62 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #133 (Grade: 61) costing them an average of 2.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #66 (103), pass blocking: #32 (115) RB: #65 (104) run blocking: #63 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #90 (Grade: 106) baked in: overall: #14 (Grade: 79), pass #10 (Grade: 63), run #15 (Grade: 71)
- Their pace ranks #36 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.7
- Projected Score: Alabama 34.2 Wisconsin 18.5

Sat 9am ET: Central Michigan at Illinois
- SideLine: Central Michigan has a 8% win probability (+1215) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #117 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 82)
- Bert Emanuel Jr. (#99 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #116 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #57 (Grade: 101) costing them an average of 0 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #109 (88), pass blocking: #122 (85) RB: #107 (90) run blocking: #116 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #130 (Grade: 130) baked in: overall: #115 (Grade: 116), pass #112 (Grade: 116), run #109 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #87 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Illinois has a 92% win probability (-1215) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #57 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Luke Altmyer (#63 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #67 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #29 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #80 (101), pass blocking: #82 (101) RB: #95 (95) run blocking: #87 (111)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #43 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #43 (Grade: 93), pass #40 (Grade: 87), run #44 (Grade: 89)
- Their pace ranks #41 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.4
- Projected Score: Illinois 36.6 Central Michigan 14.8

Sat 9am ET: Memphis at Florida State
- SideLine: Memphis has a 50% win probability (-100) … A Grade: +125
- The model thinks they should be 0 point favorites
- They’re ranked #27 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 113)
- Seth Henigan (#8 ranked QB, grade: 127) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #9 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #43 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #11 (125), pass blocking: #13 (122) RB: #14 (123) run blocking: #101 (127)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #101 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #67 (Grade: 101), pass #74 (Grade: 101), run #59 (Grade: 94)
- Their pace ranks #68 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Florida State has a 50% win probability (+100) … A Grade: +125
- The model thinks they should be 0 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #35 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 110)
- DJ Uiagalelei (#40 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #38 (Grade: 109) and their OC ranks #134 (Grade: 57) costing them an average of 2.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #32 (115), pass blocking: #28 (116) RB: #41 (110) run blocking: #79 (116)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #113 (Grade: 116) baked in: overall: #33 (Grade: 91), pass #29 (Grade: 79), run #34 (Grade: 84)
- Their pace ranks #118 (Grade: 83), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 56.6
- Projected Score: Memphis 28.3 Florida State 28.3

Sat 9am ET: Cincinnati at Miami (OH)
- SideLine: Cincinnati has a 65% win probability (-189) … A Grade: -150
- The model thinks they should be 5.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #80 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 97)
- Brendan Sorsby (#76 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #69 (Grade: 100) and their OC ranks #111 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #69 (103), pass blocking: #61 (106) RB: #57 (106) run blocking: #102 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #93 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #86 (Grade: 106), pass #76 (Grade: 102), run #90 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #37 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Miami (OH) has a 35% win probability (+189) … A Grade: +244
- The model thinks they should be 5.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #102 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 88)
- Brett Gabbert (#96 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #125 (Grade: 79) and their OC ranks #84 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #122 (84), pass blocking: #130 (73) RB: #120 (85) run blocking: #96 (87)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #19 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #63 (Grade: 100), pass #62 (Grade: 96), run #82 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #129 (Grade: 78), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 47
- Projected Score: Cincinnati 26.4 Miami (OH) 20.6

Sat 9am ET: Louisiana Tech at NC State
- SideLine: Louisiana Tech has a 5% win probability (+1902) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #121 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 80)
- Blake Baker (#113 ranked QB, grade: 88) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #111 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #93 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #98 (91), pass blocking: #83 (100) RB: #101 (92) run blocking: #124 (80)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #106 (Grade: 111) baked in: overall: #126 (Grade: 121), pass #124 (Grade: 124), run #123 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #49 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: NC State has a 95% win probability (-1902) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25 point favorites
- They’re ranked #45 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Grayson McCall (#38 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #53 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #88 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #44 (111), pass blocking: #56 (108) RB: #56 (106) run blocking: #86 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #109 (Grade: 112) baked in: overall: #36 (Grade: 92), pass #37 (Grade: 86), run #28 (Grade: 81)
- Their pace ranks #122 (Grade: 82), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.2
- Projected Score: NC State 38.1 Louisiana Tech 13.1

Sat 9am ET: LSU at South Carolina
- SideLine: LSU has a 74% win probability (-291) … A Grade: -222
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #11 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 120)
- Garrett Nussmeier (#6 ranked QB, grade: 130) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #5 (Grade: 130) and their OC ranks #31 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #7 (132), pass blocking: #6 (129) RB: #12 (124) run blocking: #91 (135)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #64 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #48 (Grade: 96), pass #52 (Grade: 91), run #48 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #88 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: South Carolina has a 26% win probability (+291) … A Grade: +399
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #53 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- LaNorris Sellers (#90 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #78 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #113 (Grade: 86) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #53 (107), pass blocking: #68 (105) RB: #59 (105) run blocking: #75 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #8 (Grade: 76) baked in: overall: #27 (Grade: 88), pass #23 (Grade: 75), run #49 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #40 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 56.5
- Projected Score: LSU 33.5 South Carolina 23

Sat 9am ET: Arkansas State at Michigan
- SideLine: Arkansas State has a 3% win probability (+2925) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #101 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 88)
- Jaylen Raynor (#79 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #77 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #80 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #77 (101), pass blocking: #58 (107) RB: #83 (99) run blocking: #125 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #72 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #123 (Grade: 120), pass #128 (Grade: 125), run #121 (Grade: 123)
- Their pace ranks #46 (Grade: 104), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Michigan has a 97% win probability (-2925) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27 point favorites
- They’re ranked #17 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Jack Tuttle (#57 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #48 (Grade: 106) and their OC ranks #98 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #48 (111), pass blocking: #72 (103) RB: #48 (108) run blocking: #58 (106)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #95 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #7 (Grade: 73), pass #5 (Grade: 58), run #5 (Grade: 58)
- Their pace ranks #133 (Grade: 70), as they tend to have about 10% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 48
- Projected Score: Michigan 37.5 Arkansas State 10.5

Sat 9:45am ET: Boston College at Missouri
- SideLine: Boston College has a 12% win probability (+708) … A Grade: +1354
- The model thinks they should be 17.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #46 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Thomas Castellanos (#52 ranked QB, grade: 109) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #52 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #23 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #64 (105), pass blocking: #48 (109) RB: #54 (106) run blocking: #91 (108)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #16 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #39 (Grade: 93), pass #49 (Grade: 91), run #39 (Grade: 87)
- Their pace ranks #94 (Grade: 91), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Missouri has a 88% win probability (-708) … A Grade: -459
- The model thinks they should be 17.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #7 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 125)
- Brady Cook (#12 ranked QB, grade: 122) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #11 (Grade: 123) and their OC ranks #45 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #8 (128), pass blocking: #7 (126) RB: #20 (121) run blocking: #68 (126)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #22 (Grade: 85) baked in: overall: #13 (Grade: 79), pass #15 (Grade: 68), run #14 (Grade: 70)
- Their pace ranks #67 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Missouri 35.1 Boston College 17.4

Sat 10am ET: Massachusetts at Buffalo
- SideLine: Massachusetts has a 46% win probability (+120) … A Grade: +150
- The model thinks they should be 1.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #127 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 78)
- Taisun Phommachanh (#87 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #109 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #14 (Grade: 120) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #115 (87), pass blocking: #105 (92) RB: #118 (85) run blocking: #127 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #125 (Grade: 124) baked in: overall: #132 (Grade: 126), pass #131 (Grade: 127), run #128 (Grade: 126)
- Their pace ranks #101 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Buffalo has a 54% win probability (-120) … A Grade: +104
- The model thinks they should be 1.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #128 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 78)
- CJ Ogbonna (#133 ranked QB, grade: 75) is listed as 100%, giving them -3.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #131 (Grade: 69) and their OC ranks #76 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #132 (76), pass blocking: #131 (70) RB: #127 (81) run blocking: #110 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #59 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #93 (Grade: 108), pass #101 (Grade: 110), run #84 (Grade: 104)
- Their pace ranks #69 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 47.6
- Projected Score: Buffalo 24.6 Massachusetts 23

Sat 12pm ET: Coastal Carolina at Temple
- SideLine: Coastal Carolina has a 96% win probability (-2584) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #71 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Ethan Vasko (#60 ranked QB, grade: 106) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #59 (Grade: 103) and their OC ranks #33 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #82 (100), pass blocking: #45 (109) RB: #80 (100) run blocking: #102 (106)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #35 (Grade: 90) baked in: overall: #81 (Grade: 104), pass #78 (Grade: 102), run #87 (Grade: 105)
- Their pace ranks #62 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Temple has a 4% win probability (+2584) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #134 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 66)
- Forrest Brock (#120 ranked QB, grade: 84) is listed as 100%, giving them -2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #132 (Grade: 68) and their OC ranks #55 (Grade: 103) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #130 (79), pass blocking: #134 (65) RB: #129 (80) run blocking: #134 (61)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #116 (Grade: 118) baked in: overall: #133 (Grade: 128), pass #134 (Grade: 134), run #131 (Grade: 131)
- Their pace ranks #45 (Grade: 104), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 54
- Projected Score: Coastal Carolina 40.9 Temple 13.1

Sat 12:30pm ET: Texas A&M at Florida
- SideLine: Texas A&M has a 59% win probability (-146) … A Grade: -117
- The model thinks they should be 3.7 point favorites
- They’re ranked #21 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 116)
- Conner Weigman (#28 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #19 (Grade: 116) and their OC ranks #100 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #22 (118), pass blocking: #47 (109) RB: #27 (114) run blocking: #77 (127)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #73 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #24 (Grade: 86), pass #27 (Grade: 77), run #24 (Grade: 78)
- Their pace ranks #83 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Florida has a 41% win probability (+146) … A Grade: +184
- The model thinks they should be 3.7 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #38 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Graham Mertz (#55 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #30 (Grade: 112) and their OC ranks #110 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #19 (118), pass blocking: #19 (119) RB: #36 (112) run blocking: #91 (119)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #117 (Grade: 119) baked in: overall: #50 (Grade: 96), pass #48 (Grade: 91), run #41 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #109 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 53.1
- Projected Score: Texas A&M 28.4 Florida 24.7

Sat 12:30pm ET: Washington State vs Washington
- SideLine: Washington State has a 26% win probability (+291) … A Grade: +398
- The model thinks they should be 10.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #55 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 104)
- John Mateer (#17 ranked QB, grade: 119) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #40 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #46 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #47 (111), pass blocking: #57 (107) RB: #50 (108) run blocking: #102 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #12 (Grade: 80) baked in: overall: #70 (Grade: 102), pass #75 (Grade: 102), run #78 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #11 (Grade: 124), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Washington has a 74% win probability (-291) … A Grade: -222
- The model thinks they should be 10.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #25 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 114)
- Will Rogers (#31 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #22 (Grade: 115) and their OC ranks #87 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #18 (119), pass blocking: #33 (115) RB: #15 (123) run blocking: #83 (119)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #55 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #35 (Grade: 91), pass #34 (Grade: 83), run #37 (Grade: 86)
- Their pace ranks #97 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 59.6
- Projected Score: Washington 35.2 Washington State 24.4

Sat 12:30pm ET: Oregon at Oregon State
- SideLine: Oregon has a 75% win probability (-293) … A Grade: -223
- The model thinks they should be 10.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #10 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 121)
- Dillon Gabriel (#3 ranked QB, grade: 133) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #10 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #112 (Grade: 86) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #5 (132), pass blocking: #21 (118) RB: #5 (128) run blocking: #76 (126)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #58 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #25 (Grade: 86), pass #26 (Grade: 76), run #26 (Grade: 81)
- Their pace ranks #75 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Oregon State has a 25% win probability (+293) … A Grade: +401
- The model thinks they should be 10.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #54 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- Gevani McCoy (#16 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #41 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #85 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #54 (107), pass blocking: #49 (109) RB: #51 (108) run blocking: #94 (122)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #60 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #62 (Grade: 100), pass #59 (Grade: 94), run #67 (Grade: 99)
- Their pace ranks #114 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55
- Projected Score: Oregon 32.7 Oregon State 22.3

Sat 12:30pm ET: West Virginia at Pittsburgh
- SideLine: West Virginia has a 74% win probability (-287) … A Grade: -219
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #28 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 113)
- Garrett Greene (#22 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #16 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #99 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #23 (117), pass blocking: #9 (123) RB: #22 (118) run blocking: #90 (121)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #66 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #44 (Grade: 94), pass #46 (Grade: 90), run #38 (Grade: 86)
- Their pace ranks #74 (Grade: 96), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Pittsburgh has a 26% win probability (+287) … A Grade: +391
- The model thinks they should be 10.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #68 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Eli Holstein (#82 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #75 (Grade: 98) and their OC ranks #20 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #81 (100), pass blocking: #84 (100) RB: #68 (103) run blocking: #95 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #114 (Grade: 116) baked in: overall: #59 (Grade: 98), pass #60 (Grade: 95), run #43 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #14 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 58.1
- Projected Score: West Virginia 34.3 Pittsburgh 23.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Ball State at Miami (FL)
- SideLine: Ball State has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 37.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #123 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 80)
- Kadin Semonza (#126 ranked QB, grade: 81) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #124 (Grade: 80) and their OC ranks #86 (Grade: 95) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #125 (82), pass blocking: #94 (96) RB: #125 (82) run blocking: #118 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #52 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #114 (Grade: 116), pass #117 (Grade: 118), run #114 (Grade: 119)
- Their pace ranks #115 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Miami (FL) has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 37.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #8 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 124)
- Cam Ward (#10 ranked QB, grade: 124) is listed as 100%, giving them 3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #8 (Grade: 124) and their OC ranks #42 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #9 (127), pass blocking: #16 (121) RB: #10 (126) run blocking: #67 (123)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #81 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #17 (Grade: 81), pass #13 (Grade: 67), run #18 (Grade: 73)
- Their pace ranks #100 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 49.4
- Projected Score: Miami (FL) 43.6 Ball State 5.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Tulane at Oklahoma
- SideLine: Tulane has a 22% win probability (+362) … A Grade: +519
- The model thinks they should be 11.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #40 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Darian Mensah (#50 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #44 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #51 (Grade: 105) adding an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #51 (109), pass blocking: #46 (109) RB: #37 (111) run blocking: #86 (110)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #94 (Grade: 107) baked in: overall: #40 (Grade: 93), pass #39 (Grade: 86), run #36 (Grade: 85)
- Their pace ranks #116 (Grade: 85), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Oklahoma has a 78% win probability (-362) … A Grade: -268
- The model thinks they should be 11.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #15 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 118)
- Jackson Arnold (#45 ranked QB, grade: 112) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #29 (Grade: 112) and their OC ranks #128 (Grade: 78) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #20 (118), pass blocking: #20 (118) RB: #30 (113) run blocking: #68 (121)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #68 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #12 (Grade: 79), pass #14 (Grade: 68), run #10 (Grade: 66)
- Their pace ranks #26 (Grade: 113), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.6
- Projected Score: Oklahoma 31.8 Tulane 19.8

Sat 12:30pm ET: Nevada at Minnesota
- SideLine: Nevada has a 5% win probability (+1973) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #118 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 81)
- Brendon Lewis (#85 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 60%, giving them -0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #120 (Grade: 81) and their OC ranks #30 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #120 (84), pass blocking: #93 (96) RB: #122 (84) run blocking: #120 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #1 (Grade: 66) baked in: overall: #111 (Grade: 115), pass #119 (Grade: 120), run #124 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #90 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Minnesota has a 95% win probability (-1973) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #41 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 108)
- Max Brosmer (#48 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #70 (Grade: 99) and their OC ranks #106 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #83 (100), pass blocking: #86 (98) RB: #72 (101) run blocking: #73 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #82 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #20 (Grade: 84), pass #20 (Grade: 73), run #20 (Grade: 76)
- Their pace ranks #126 (Grade: 79), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 43.7
- Projected Score: Minnesota 33.5 Nevada 10.2

Sat 12:30pm ET: Notre Dame at Purdue
- SideLine: Notre Dame has a 70% win probability (-232) … A Grade: -181
- The model thinks they should be 8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #30 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Riley Leonard (#67 ranked QB, grade: 104) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #42 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #108 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #30 (115), pass blocking: #41 (111) RB: #28 (114) run blocking: #76 (111)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #79 (Grade: 102) baked in: overall: #23 (Grade: 86), pass #24 (Grade: 76), run #25 (Grade: 79)
- Their pace ranks #121 (Grade: 82), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Purdue has a 30% win probability (+232) … A Grade: +306
- The model thinks they should be 8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #66 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Hudson Card (#58 ranked QB, grade: 107) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #64 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #41 (Grade: 108) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #73 (102), pass blocking: #40 (111) RB: #81 (99) run blocking: #97 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #85 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #68 (Grade: 101), pass #65 (Grade: 97), run #68 (Grade: 99)
- Their pace ranks #24 (Grade: 114), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.2
- Projected Score: Notre Dame 30.1 Purdue 22.1

Sat 1pm ET: Appalachian State at East Carolina
- SideLine: Appalachian State has a 66% win probability (-193) … A Grade: -152
- The model thinks they should be 6.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #63 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Joey Aguilar (#68 ranked QB, grade: 104) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #35 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #47 (Grade: 107) adding an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #41 (113), pass blocking: #42 (111) RB: #35 (112) run blocking: #106 (115)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #120 (Grade: 122) baked in: overall: #103 (Grade: 111), pass #88 (Grade: 106), run #100 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #30 (Grade: 112), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: East Carolina has a 34% win probability (+193) … A Grade: +249
- The model thinks they should be 6.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #93 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 91)
- Jake Garcia (#114 ranked QB, grade: 88) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #118 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #96 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #107 (89), pass blocking: #104 (92) RB: #110 (88) run blocking: #100 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #25 (Grade: 86) baked in: overall: #57 (Grade: 98), pass #70 (Grade: 100), run #46 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #29 (Grade: 112), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 57.6
- Projected Score: Appalachian State 32.1 East Carolina 25.5

Sat 1pm ET: Troy at Iowa
- SideLine: Troy has a 3% win probability (+3564) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #98 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 89)
- Goose Crowder (#91 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #96 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #94 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #97 (93), pass blocking: #90 (97) RB: #93 (96) run blocking: #109 (93)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #100 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #99 (Grade: 110), pass #95 (Grade: 109), run #95 (Grade: 109)
- Their pace ranks #128 (Grade: 78), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Iowa has a 97% win probability (-3564) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 25.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #20 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 117)
- Cade McNamara (#97 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #89 (Grade: 94) and their OC ranks #107 (Grade: 88) costing them an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #91 (97), pass blocking: #97 (95) RB: #87 (97) run blocking: #41 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #104 (Grade: 111) baked in: overall: #2 (Grade: 60), pass #2 (Grade: 41), run #2 (Grade: 40)
- Their pace ranks #93 (Grade: 91), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 38.4
- Projected Score: Iowa 31.9 Troy 6.5

Sat 1:15pm ET: UAB at Arkansas
- SideLine: UAB has a 8% win probability (+1120) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 24.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #108 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Jacob Zeno (#75 ranked QB, grade: 100) is listed as 100%, giving them 0 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #80 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #104 (Grade: 89) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #68 (103), pass blocking: #89 (97) RB: #75 (101) run blocking: #124 (101)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #133 (Grade: 132) baked in: overall: #130 (Grade: 124), pass #125 (Grade: 124), run #125 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #15 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Arkansas has a 92% win probability (-1120) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 24.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #44 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Taylen Green (#20 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #34 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #95 (Grade: 93) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #39 (113), pass blocking: #43 (110) RB: #32 (112) run blocking: #94 (112)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #88 (Grade: 105) baked in: overall: #58 (Grade: 98), pass #58 (Grade: 94), run #51 (Grade: 91)
- Their pace ranks #19 (Grade: 117), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 67
- Projected Score: Arkansas 45.7 UAB 21.3

Sat 1:30pm ET: Utah at Utah State
- SideLine: Utah has a 97% win probability (-3340) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 29.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #14 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 119)
- Cameron Rising (#52 ranked QB, grade: 109) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #33 (Grade: 110) and their OC ranks #124 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #24 (117), pass blocking: #35 (113) RB: #33 (112) run blocking: #65 (120)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #15 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #8 (Grade: 75), pass #11 (Grade: 65), run #9 (Grade: 65)
- Their pace ranks #112 (Grade: 86), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Utah State has a 3% win probability (+3340) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 29.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #116 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 83)
- Spencer Petras (#93 ranked QB, grade: 95) is listed as 60%, giving them -0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #91 (Grade: 91) and their OC ranks #117 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #70 (103), pass blocking: #112 (91) RB: #63 (104) run blocking: #123 (96)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #77 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #129 (Grade: 123), pass #123 (Grade: 123), run #133 (Grade: 134)
- Their pace ranks #32 (Grade: 110), as they tend to have about 3% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Utah 40.8 Utah State 11.7

Sat 3pm ET: Virginia Tech at Old Dominion
- SideLine: Virginia Tech has a 86% win probability (-596) … A Grade: -403
- The model thinks they should be 16.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #48 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Kyron Drones (#51 ranked QB, grade: 110) is listed as 60%, giving them 1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #50 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #35 (Grade: 111) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #37 (114), pass blocking: #66 (105) RB: #31 (112) run blocking: #82 (101)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #83 (Grade: 103) baked in: overall: #42 (Grade: 93), pass #31 (Grade: 82), run #54 (Grade: 92)
- Their pace ranks #82 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Old Dominion has a 14% win probability (+596) … A Grade: +1027
- The model thinks they should be 16.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #103 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 87)
- Grant Wilson (#122 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #115 (Grade: 84) and their OC ranks #18 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #108 (88), pass blocking: #121 (85) RB: #106 (91) run blocking: #115 (83)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #5 (Grade: 72) baked in: overall: #88 (Grade: 107), pass #111 (Grade: 115), run #85 (Grade: 104)
- Their pace ranks #3 (Grade: 138), as they tend to have about 12% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55.7
- Projected Score: Virginia Tech 36.3 Old Dominion 19.4

Sat 3pm ET: UTEP at Liberty
- SideLine: UTEP has a 4% win probability (+2362) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.7 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #126 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Skyler Locklear (#108 ranked QB, grade: 90) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #123 (Grade: 80) and their OC ranks #66 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #124 (82), pass blocking: #95 (95) RB: #128 (80) run blocking: #118 (78)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #99 (Grade: 109) baked in: overall: #118 (Grade: 117), pass #116 (Grade: 118), run #116 (Grade: 120)
- Their pace ranks #79 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Liberty has a 96% win probability (-2362) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 27.7 point favorites
- They’re ranked #36 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Kaidon Salter (#39 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #17 (Grade: 117) and their OC ranks #24 (Grade: 115) adding an average of 0.7 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #26 (116), pass blocking: #60 (107) RB: #19 (121) run blocking: #98 (131)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #128 (Grade: 125) baked in: overall: #72 (Grade: 102), pass #66 (Grade: 98), run #58 (Grade: 94)
- Their pace ranks #70 (Grade: 99), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 55.9
- Projected Score: Liberty 41.8 UTEP 14.1

Sat 3pm ET: Connecticut at Duke
- SideLine: Connecticut has a 8% win probability (+1152) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #114 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 84)
- Nick Evers (#119 ranked QB, grade: 84) is listed as 60%, giving them -1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #108 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #114 (Grade: 85) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #119 (85), pass blocking: #108 (92) RB: #117 (85) run blocking: #113 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #129 (Grade: 128) baked in: overall: #110 (Grade: 115), pass #106 (Grade: 113), run #104 (Grade: 111)
- Their pace ranks #61 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Duke has a 92% win probability (-1152) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 21.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #52 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 105)
- Maalik Murphy (#62 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #74 (Grade: 98) and their OC ranks #97 (Grade: 92) costing them an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #84 (100), pass blocking: #37 (112) RB: #86 (97) run blocking: #80 (95)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #48 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #28 (Grade: 88), pass #30 (Grade: 80), run #30 (Grade: 82)
- Their pace ranks #39 (Grade: 107), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.1
- Projected Score: Duke 36.2 Connecticut 14.9

Sat 3pm ET: Florida International at Florida Atlantic
- SideLine: Florida International has a 46% win probability (+115) … A Grade: +144
- The model thinks they should be 1.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #112 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Keyone Jenkins (#110 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #107 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #7 (Grade: 123) adding an average of 1.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #104 (90), pass blocking: #119 (86) RB: #102 (92) run blocking: #109 (88)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #76 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #109 (Grade: 114), pass #99 (Grade: 109), run #115 (Grade: 120)
- Their pace ranks #47 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Florida Atlantic has a 54% win probability (-115) … A Grade: +108
- The model thinks they should be 1.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #113 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 84)
- Cam Fancher (#123 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #128 (Grade: 78) and their OC ranks #126 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #121 (84), pass blocking: #96 (95) RB: #131 (78) run blocking: #103 (83)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #53 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #84 (Grade: 105), pass #80 (Grade: 103), run #94 (Grade: 107)
- Their pace ranks #55 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 49.2
- Projected Score: Florida Atlantic 25.3 Florida International 23.9

Sat 3:30pm ET: Ole Miss at Wake Forest
- SideLine: Ole Miss has a 96% win probability (-2591) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 30.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #5 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 132)
- Jaxson Dart (#1 ranked QB, grade: 139) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #3 (Grade: 132) and their OC ranks #121 (Grade: 82) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #1 (136), pass blocking: #5 (129) RB: #2 (131) run blocking: #61 (136)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #40 (Grade: 93) baked in: overall: #9 (Grade: 75), pass #9 (Grade: 61), run #11 (Grade: 66)
- Their pace ranks #13 (Grade: 120), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wake Forest has a 4% win probability (+2591) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 30.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #76 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Hank Bachmeier (#29 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #65 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #118 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #79 (101), pass blocking: #31 (115) RB: #74 (101) run blocking: #104 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #102 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #79 (Grade: 104), pass #82 (Grade: 104), run #63 (Grade: 97)
- Their pace ranks #22 (Grade: 115), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.7
- Projected Score: Ole Miss 47.1 Wake Forest 16.6

Sat 4pm ET: Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
- SideLine: Western Kentucky has a 72% win probability (-255) … A Grade: -197
- The model thinks they should be 9.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #92 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 91)
- T.J. Finley (#65 ranked QB, grade: 105) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #81 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #119 (Grade: 83) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #76 (102), pass blocking: #62 (106) RB: #89 (97) run blocking: #108 (100)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #131 (Grade: 130) baked in: overall: #105 (Grade: 112), pass #91 (Grade: 108), run #99 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #27 (Grade: 113), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Middle Tennessee has a 28% win probability (+255) … A Grade: +341
- The model thinks they should be 9.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #125 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Nicholas Vattiato (#101 ranked QB, grade: 92) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #121 (Grade: 81) and their OC ranks #79 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #114 (87), pass blocking: #127 (81) RB: #108 (90) run blocking: #119 (81)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #75 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #119 (Grade: 118), pass #118 (Grade: 119), run #122 (Grade: 124)
- Their pace ranks #16 (Grade: 119), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.2
- Projected Score: Western Kentucky 34.9 Middle Tennessee 25.3

Sat 4pm ET: Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan
- SideLine: Jacksonville State has a 49% win probability (+103) … A Grade: +129
- The model thinks they should be 0.3 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #107 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Logan Smothers (#116 ranked QB, grade: 87) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #103 (Grade: 88) and their OC ranks #77 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #96 (95), pass blocking: #98 (95) RB: #103 (92) run blocking: #114 (97)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #126 (Grade: 124) baked in: overall: #112 (Grade: 115), pass #108 (Grade: 114), run #110 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #12 (Grade: 123), as they tend to have about 7% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Eastern Michigan has a 51% win probability (-103) … A Grade: +121
- The model thinks they should be 0.3 point favorites
- They’re ranked #115 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 83)
- Cole Snyder (#118 ranked QB, grade: 86) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #126 (Grade: 78) and their OC ranks #78 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #129 (80), pass blocking: #124 (83) RB: #130 (79) run blocking: #112 (77)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #54 (Grade: 97) baked in: overall: #92 (Grade: 107), pass #103 (Grade: 112), run #74 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #86 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Eastern Michigan 26.4 Jacksonville State 26.1

Sat 4pm ET: Vanderbilt at Georgia State
- SideLine: Vanderbilt has a 78% win probability (-353) … A Grade: -263
- The model thinks they should be 12 point favorites
- They’re ranked #79 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 97)
- Diego Pavia (#27 ranked QB, grade: 116) is listed as 100%, giving them 2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #61 (Grade: 102) and their OC ranks #27 (Grade: 113) adding an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #67 (103), pass blocking: #77 (102) RB: #79 (100) run blocking: #109 (98)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #71 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #91 (Grade: 107), pass #96 (Grade: 109), run #89 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #77 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Georgia State has a 22% win probability (+353) … A Grade: +504
- The model thinks they should be 12 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #119 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 81)
- Christian Veilleux (#121 ranked QB, grade: 83) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #112 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #63 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #106 (90), pass blocking: #114 (89) RB: #105 (91) run blocking: #126 (86)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #57 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #121 (Grade: 119), pass #129 (Grade: 126), run #119 (Grade: 121)
- Their pace ranks #92 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 53.8
- Projected Score: Vanderbilt 32.9 Georgia State 20.9

Sat 4pm ET: UTSA at Texas
- SideLine: UTSA has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 41.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #84 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 94)
- Owen McCown (#81 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #79 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #130 (Grade: 68) costing them an average of 1.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #61 (105), pass blocking: #70 (103) RB: #60 (105) run blocking: #106 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #115 (Grade: 117) baked in: overall: #89 (Grade: 107), pass #86 (Grade: 106), run #72 (Grade: 101)
- Their pace ranks #6 (Grade: 130), as they tend to have about 9% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Texas has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 41.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #3 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 134)
- Quinn Ewers (#5 ranked QB, grade: 132) is listed as 100%, giving them 4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #2 (Grade: 132) and their OC ranks #32 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #2 (134), pass blocking: #2 (133) RB: #8 (127) run blocking: #59 (135)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #7 (Grade: 74) baked in: overall: #6 (Grade: 72), pass #7 (Grade: 59), run #7 (Grade: 63)
- Their pace ranks #73 (Grade: 96), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 60.4
- Projected Score: Texas 50.8 UTSA 9.6

Sat 4pm ET: Hawaii at Sam Houston State
- SideLine: Hawaii has a 49% win probability (+105) … A Grade: +130
- The model thinks they should be 0.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #99 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 89)
- Brayden Schager (#88 ranked QB, grade: 96) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.5 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #101 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #109 (Grade: 87) costing them an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #100 (91), pass blocking: #69 (104) RB: #111 (88) run blocking: #109 (88)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #41 (Grade: 94) baked in: overall: #95 (Grade: 109), pass #98 (Grade: 109), run #97 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #102 (Grade: 89), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Sam Houston State has a 51% win probability (-105) … A Grade: +119
- The model thinks they should be 0.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #110 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Hunter Watson (#100 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #110 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #5 (Grade: 125) adding an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #102 (91), pass blocking: #110 (92) RB: #119 (85) run blocking: #109 (79)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #61 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #106 (Grade: 112), pass #97 (Grade: 109), run #111 (Grade: 117)
- Their pace ranks #52 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.2
- Projected Score: Sam Houston State 25.3 Hawaii 24.9

Sat 4pm ET: South Florida at Southern Miss
- SideLine: South Florida has a 85% win probability (-566) … A Grade: -387
- The model thinks they should be 17.6 point favorites
- They’re ranked #75 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Byrum Brown (#77 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #57 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #16 (Grade: 119) adding an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #46 (111), pass blocking: #85 (100) RB: #46 (108) run blocking: #106 (107)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #74 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #85 (Grade: 106), pass #87 (Grade: 106), run #88 (Grade: 105)
- Their pace ranks #1 (Grade: 142), as they tend to have about 14% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Southern Miss has a 15% win probability (+566) … A Grade: +951
- The model thinks they should be 17.6 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #124 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 79)
- Tate Rodemaker (#98 ranked QB, grade: 93) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #119 (Grade: 82) and their OC ranks #91 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #110 (88), pass blocking: #120 (86) RB: #124 (84) run blocking: #122 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #103 (Grade: 110) baked in: overall: #120 (Grade: 119), pass #122 (Grade: 122), run #118 (Grade: 121)
- Their pace ranks #58 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.4
- Projected Score: South Florida 40.5 Southern Miss 22.9

Sat 4:30pm ET: Toledo at Mississippi State
- SideLine: Toledo has a 26% win probability (+281) … A Grade: +382
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #81 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 96)
- Tucker Gleason (#109 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #93 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #48 (Grade: 106) adding an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #94 (96), pass blocking: #103 (93) RB: #99 (93) run blocking: #86 (96)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #132 (Grade: 131) baked in: overall: #54 (Grade: 97), pass #38 (Grade: 86), run #40 (Grade: 87)
- Their pace ranks #81 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Mississippi State has a 74% win probability (-281) … A Grade: -215
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #56 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 104)
- Blake Shapen (#34 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #56 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #75 (Grade: 97) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #57 (106), pass blocking: #55 (108) RB: #62 (105) run blocking: #91 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #96 (Grade: 108) baked in: overall: #56 (Grade: 97), pass #53 (Grade: 91), run #55 (Grade: 92)
- Their pace ranks #78 (Grade: 95), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 48.8
- Projected Score: Mississippi State 29.1 Toledo 19.7

Sat 4:30pm ET: New Mexico at Auburn
- SideLine: New Mexico has a 1% win probability (+7113) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 34 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #130 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 74)
- Devon Dampier (#73 ranked QB, grade: 101) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #102 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #11 (Grade: 121) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #113 (87), pass blocking: #99 (94) RB: #114 (86) run blocking: #131 (89)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #134 (Grade: 138), pass #133 (Grade: 131), run #134 (Grade: 160)
- Their pace ranks #91 (Grade: 92), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Auburn has a 99% win probability (-7113) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 34 point favorites
- They’re ranked #32 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 112)
- Payton Thorne (#61 ranked QB, grade: 106) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #51 (Grade: 105) and their OC ranks #123 (Grade: 80) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #40 (113), pass blocking: #38 (112) RB: #43 (110) run blocking: #75 (114)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #38 (Grade: 92) baked in: overall: #19 (Grade: 84), pass #22 (Grade: 75), run #21 (Grade: 76)
- Their pace ranks #111 (Grade: 87), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.9
- Projected Score: Auburn 43.4 New Mexico 9.5

Sat 4:30pm ET: Air Force at Baylor
- SideLine: Air Force has a 31% win probability (+225) … A Grade: +295
- The model thinks they should be 7.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #88 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 93)
- John Busha (#124 ranked QB, grade: 82) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #113 (Grade: 85) and their OC ranks #125 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #117 (87), pass blocking: #129 (76) RB: #115 (86) run blocking: #91 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #108 (Grade: 112) baked in: overall: #53 (Grade: 96), pass #50 (Grade: 91), run #42 (Grade: 88)
- Their pace ranks #131 (Grade: 76), as they tend to have about 8% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Baylor has a 69% win probability (-225) … A Grade: -176
- The model thinks they should be 7.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #73 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 99)
- Dequan Finn (#86 ranked QB, grade: 97) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #71 (Grade: 99) and their OC ranks #127 (Grade: 79) costing them an average of 1.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #60 (105), pass blocking: #34 (114) RB: #66 (104) run blocking: #96 (103)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #44 (Grade: 95) baked in: overall: #61 (Grade: 100), pass #64 (Grade: 96), run #66 (Grade: 98)
- Their pace ranks #66 (Grade: 100), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 44.7
- Projected Score: Baylor 25.9 Air Force 18.8

Sat 4:30pm ET: UCF at TCU
- SideLine: UCF has a 62% win probability (-160) … A Grade: -128
- The model thinks they should be 5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #24 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 114)
- KJ Jefferson (#33 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.9 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #21 (Grade: 116) and their OC ranks #90 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #27 (116), pass blocking: #15 (121) RB: #17 (122) run blocking: #83 (115)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #65 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #31 (Grade: 90), pass #32 (Grade: 83), run #31 (Grade: 83)
- Their pace ranks #51 (Grade: 102), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: TCU has a 38% win probability (+160) … A Grade: +204
- The model thinks they should be 5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #43 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 107)
- Josh Hoover (#41 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #45 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #103 (Grade: 89) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #34 (115), pass blocking: #30 (115) RB: #47 (108) run blocking: #88 (110)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #78 (Grade: 101) baked in: overall: #45 (Grade: 95), pass #43 (Grade: 88), run #47 (Grade: 90)
- Their pace ranks #4 (Grade: 136), as they tend to have about 11% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 62.6
- Projected Score: UCF 33.8 TCU 28.8

Sat 4:30pm ET: Georgia at Kentucky
- SideLine: Georgia has a 95% win probability (-1950) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #1 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 137)
- Carson Beck (#4 ranked QB, grade: 133) is listed as 100%, giving them 4.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #1 (Grade: 135) and their OC ranks #64 (Grade: 100) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #3 (134), pass blocking: #1 (139) RB: #1 (131) run blocking: #56 (137)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #13 (Grade: 81) baked in: overall: #4 (Grade: 68), pass #4 (Grade: 56), run #4 (Grade: 55)
- Their pace ranks #127 (Grade: 79), as they tend to have about 7% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Kentucky has a 5% win probability (+1950) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 23.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #58 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Brock Vandagriff (#78 ranked QB, grade: 99) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #76 (Grade: 97) and their OC ranks #115 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #56 (106), pass blocking: #111 (91) RB: #49 (108) run blocking: #84 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #98 (Grade: 109) baked in: overall: #34 (Grade: 91), pass #35 (Grade: 84), run #29 (Grade: 82)
- Their pace ranks #132 (Grade: 73), as they tend to have about 9% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 44.4
- Projected Score: Georgia 33.9 Kentucky 10.5

Sat 4:30pm ET: Colorado at Colorado State
- SideLine: Colorado has a 71% win probability (-245) … A Grade: -190
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point favorites
- They’re ranked #59 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 103)
- Shedeur Sanders (#7 ranked QB, grade: 130) is listed as 100%, giving them 3.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #46 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #116 (Grade: 84) costing them an average of 0.9 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #35 (114), pass blocking: #88 (97) RB: #55 (106) run blocking: #102 (109)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #32 (Grade: 89) baked in: overall: #76 (Grade: 103), pass #77 (Grade: 102), run #81 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #17 (Grade: 118), as they tend to have about 6% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Colorado State has a 29% win probability (+245) … A Grade: +325
- The model thinks they should be 9.4 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #96 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 90)
- Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (#106 ranked QB, grade: 90) is listed as 100%, giving them -1 point for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #84 (Grade: 95) and their OC ranks #60 (Grade: 101) costing them an average of 0 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #86 (99), pass blocking: #92 (96) RB: #91 (96) run blocking: #115 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #69 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #108 (Grade: 113), pass #110 (Grade: 115), run #108 (Grade: 114)
- Their pace ranks #25 (Grade: 114), as they tend to have about 4% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 63.6
- Projected Score: Colorado 36.5 Colorado State 27.1

Sat 4:30pm ET: Indiana at UCLA
- SideLine: Indiana has a 56% win probability (-126) … A Grade: -101
- The model thinks they should be 2.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #49 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Kurtis Rourke (#36 ranked QB, grade: 114) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #55 (Grade: 104) and their OC ranks #89 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #63 (105), pass blocking: #44 (109) RB: #67 (103) run blocking: #87 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #62 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #38 (Grade: 92), pass #41 (Grade: 87), run #33 (Grade: 84)
- Their pace ranks #80 (Grade: 94), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: UCLA has a 44% win probability (+126) … A Grade: +159
- The model thinks they should be 2.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #62 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Ethan Garbers (#94 ranked QB, grade: 94) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #82 (Grade: 96) and their OC ranks #101 (Grade: 91) costing them an average of 0.6 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #72 (103), pass blocking: #59 (107) RB: #78 (100) run blocking: #91 (97)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #29 (Grade: 88) baked in: overall: #46 (Grade: 95), pass #51 (Grade: 91), run #52 (Grade: 91)
- Their pace ranks #43 (Grade: 106), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.6
- Projected Score: Indiana 26.4 UCLA 24.2

Sat 4:45pm ET: Kent State at Tennessee
- SideLine: Kent State has a 1% win probability (+10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 51.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #133 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 71)
- Devin Kargman (#129 ranked QB, grade: 77) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.8 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #130 (Grade: 73) and their OC ranks #19 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #131 (79), pass blocking: #128 (81) RB: #133 (73) run blocking: #129 (70)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #134 (Grade: 139) baked in: overall: #131 (Grade: 126), pass #132 (Grade: 129), run #120 (Grade: 123)
- Their pace ranks #59 (Grade: 101), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Tennessee has a 99% win probability (-10000) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 51.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #6 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 125)
- Nico Iamaleava (#14 ranked QB, grade: 120) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.6 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #12 (Grade: 123) and their OC ranks #22 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #10 (126), pass blocking: #8 (123) RB: #13 (123) run blocking: #67 (123)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #26 (Grade: 87) baked in: overall: #11 (Grade: 77), pass #12 (Grade: 67), run #12 (Grade: 68)
- Their pace ranks #72 (Grade: 98), as they tend to have about 1% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.7
- Projected Score: Tennessee 52.1 Kent State 0.6

Sat 5pm ET: Rice at Houston
- SideLine: Rice has a 49% win probability (+105) … A Grade: +131
- The model thinks they should be 0.5 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #91 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 92)
- E.J. Warner (#104 ranked QB, grade: 91) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #85 (Grade: 95) and their OC ranks #53 (Grade: 104) adding an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #88 (99), pass blocking: #81 (101) RB: #76 (101) run blocking: #110 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #63 (Grade: 98) baked in: overall: #100 (Grade: 110), pass #100 (Grade: 110), run #101 (Grade: 110)
- Their pace ranks #64 (Grade: 100), as they tend to have about the same amount of plays as a typical game
- SideLine: Houston has a 51% win probability (-105) … A Grade: +118
- The model thinks they should be 0.5 point favorites
- They’re ranked #97 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 90)
- Donovan Smith (#83 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 100%, giving them -0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #97 (Grade: 90) and their OC ranks #122 (Grade: 82) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #74 (102), pass blocking: #80 (101) RB: #90 (97) run blocking: #113 (85)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #9 (Grade: 77) baked in: overall: #94 (Grade: 108), pass #107 (Grade: 113), run #96 (Grade: 109)
- Their pace ranks #85 (Grade: 93), as they tend to have about 2% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 52.5
- Projected Score: Houston 26.5 Rice 26

Sat 5pm ET: Maryland at Virginia
- SideLine: Maryland has a 72% win probability (-262) … A Grade: -202
- The model thinks they should be 9.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #37 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 109)
- Billy Edwards Jr. (#42 ranked QB, grade: 113) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.7 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #58 (Grade: 103) and their OC ranks #34 (Grade: 112) adding an average of 0.5 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #62 (105), pass blocking: #76 (102) RB: #73 (101) run blocking: #76 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #110 (Grade: 113) baked in: overall: #26 (Grade: 87), pass #25 (Grade: 76), run #23 (Grade: 77)
- Their pace ranks #37 (Grade: 108), as they tend to have about 2% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Virginia has a 28% win probability (+262) … A Grade: +353
- The model thinks they should be 9.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #82 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 96)
- Anthony Colandrea (#47 ranked QB, grade: 111) is listed as 100%, giving them 1.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #63 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #21 (Grade: 116) adding an average of 0.8 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #65 (104), pass blocking: #78 (101) RB: #94 (96) run blocking: #106 (99)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #70 (Grade: 100) baked in: overall: #97 (Grade: 109), pass #89 (Grade: 106), run #106 (Grade: 113)
- Their pace ranks #9 (Grade: 125), as they tend to have about 8% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 59.4
- Projected Score: Maryland 34.6 Virginia 24.8

Sat 6pm ET: BYU at Wyoming
- SideLine: BYU has a 70% win probability (-232) … A Grade: -181
- The model thinks they should be 7.8 point favorites
- They’re ranked #67 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 100)
- Jake Retzlaff (#84 ranked QB, grade: 98) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #66 (Grade: 101) and their OC ranks #92 (Grade: 94) costing them an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #58 (106), pass blocking: #52 (108) RB: #69 (103) run blocking: #100 (104)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #11 (Grade: 79) baked in: overall: #65 (Grade: 101), pass #72 (Grade: 100), run #73 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #48 (Grade: 103), as they tend to have about 1% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Wyoming has a 30% win probability (+232) … A Grade: +306
- The model thinks they should be 7.8 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #104 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 87)
- Evan Svoboda (#128 ranked QB, grade: 78) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #106 (Grade: 86) and their OC ranks #120 (Grade: 83) costing them an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #111 (87), pass blocking: #73 (103) RB: #121 (85) run blocking: #108 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #122 (Grade: 123) baked in: overall: #102 (Grade: 110), pass #93 (Grade: 108), run #93 (Grade: 106)
- Their pace ranks #119 (Grade: 83), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.3
- Projected Score: BYU 29.1 Wyoming 21.2

Sat 7:30pm ET: New Mexico State at Fresno State
- SideLine: New Mexico State has a 13% win probability (+685) … A Grade: +1283
- The model thinks they should be 17.2 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #111 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 85)
- Parker Awad (#130 ranked QB, grade: 76) is listed as 100%, giving them -2.2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #117 (Grade: 83) and their OC ranks #38 (Grade: 109) adding an average of 0.4 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #103 (90), pass blocking: #126 (82) RB: #100 (92) run blocking: #111 (91)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #49 (Grade: 96) baked in: overall: #101 (Grade: 110), pass #102 (Grade: 111), run #102 (Grade: 111)
- Their pace ranks #106 (Grade: 88), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: Fresno State has a 87% win probability (-685) … A Grade: -449
- The model thinks they should be 17.2 point favorites
- They’re ranked #61 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 102)
- Mikey Keene (#21 ranked QB, grade: 117) is listed as 100%, giving them 2.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #39 (Grade: 108) and their OC ranks #70 (Grade: 99) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #45 (111), pass blocking: #64 (105) RB: #44 (110) run blocking: #104 (109)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #67 (Grade: 99) baked in: overall: #83 (Grade: 105), pass #83 (Grade: 104), run #79 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #106 (Grade: 88), as they tend to have about 4% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 50.6
- Projected Score: Fresno State 33.9 New Mexico State 16.7

Sat 7:30pm ET: San Diego State at California
- SideLine: San Diego State has a 17% win probability (+504) … A Grade: +804
- The model thinks they should be 14.9 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #89 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 92)
- Danny O’Neil (#111 ranked QB, grade: 89) is listed as 100%, giving them -1.3 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #100 (Grade: 89) and their OC ranks #73 (Grade: 98) costing them an average of 0.2 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #101 (91), pass blocking: #101 (93) RB: #52 (107) run blocking: #99 (94)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #45 (Grade: 95) baked in: overall: #74 (Grade: 102), pass #68 (Grade: 99), run #77 (Grade: 102)
- Their pace ranks #117 (Grade: 84), as they tend to have about 5% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: California has a 83% win probability (-504) … A Grade: -353
- The model thinks they should be 14.9 point favorites
- They’re ranked #51 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 106)
- Fernando Mendoza (#35 ranked QB, grade: 115) is listed as 100%, giving them 2 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #47 (Grade: 107) and their OC ranks #13 (Grade: 120) adding an average of 1 point per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #38 (114), pass blocking: #65 (105) RB: #24 (116) run blocking: #92 (102)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #21 (Grade: 84) baked in: overall: #52 (Grade: 96), pass #54 (Grade: 92), run #62 (Grade: 96)
- Their pace ranks #21 (Grade: 116), as they tend to have about 5% more plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 51.9
- Projected Score: California 33.4 San Diego State 18.5

Sat 7:30pm ET: Kennesaw State at San Jose State
- SideLine: Kennesaw State has a 8% win probability (+1087) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 19.1 point underdogs
- They’re ranked #131 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 72)
- Davis Bryson (#131 ranked QB, grade: 75) is listed as 100%, giving them -3.1 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #133 (Grade: 67) and their OC ranks #82 (Grade: 96) costing them an average of 0.3 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #133 (76), pass blocking: #133 (65) RB: #132 (77) run blocking: #125 (72)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #20 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #116 (Grade: 116), pass #127 (Grade: 125), run #113 (Grade: 119)
- Their pace ranks #125 (Grade: 80), as they tend to have about 6% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine: San Jose State has a 92% win probability (-1087) … A Grade: N/A
- The model thinks they should be 19.1 point favorites
- They’re ranked #87 according to SideLine (Overall grade: 93)
- Emmett Brown (#69 ranked QB, grade: 103) is listed as 100%, giving them 0.4 points for the QB position
- Their offensive efficiency ranks #92 (Grade: 91) and their OC ranks #67 (Grade: 99) costing them an average of 0.1 points per game according to SideLine
- Offensive efficiency position group ranks (grades in parentheses): WR/TE: #90 (98), pass blocking: #107 (92) RB: #104 (91) run blocking: #103 (92)
- Defensive efficiency ranks (grades in parenthesis) with DC ranking #16 (Grade: 82) baked in: overall: #77 (Grade: 103), pass #79 (Grade: 103), run #80 (Grade: 103)
- Their pace ranks #98 (Grade: 90), as they tend to have about 3% fewer plays than a typical game
- SideLine Projected Total: 42.7
- Projected Score: San Jose State 30.9 Kennesaw State 11.8

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About me

I’m a PhD statistician who has built mathematical models to predict MLB, NFL, CFB, CBB and NHL. The models provided totals, team totals, and thresholds for ML picks to be +EV and top plays, the latter deriving from my expertise of probability. I believe our picks have an edge because most people don’t understand probability very well! For more explanations visit www.pickswiththeprofessor.com/new, and for a sneak peek of what you get by joining this DubClub, watch this welcome video.

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My performance

24 MLB: As of 8/3, 3% ROI on Play of the Day [n=130], +50u (5% ROI) on A grades [n=888]
23-24 CBB: 6% ROI on Play of the Day [n=258]
2023 CFB: 5% ROI on A grade sides [n=259]
2023 NFL: 22% ROI on A grade sides [n=91]
2023 MLB: 1% ROI on the POTD [n=200]
22-23 CBB: 9% ROI on A grade ML plays [n=185] in March (debut of ML model)
2022 CFB: 1% ROI picking every spread from Week 8 on [n=375]
2022 MLB: 4% ROI on A grade sides [n=647]

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