ProfessorSides

4:10pm ET: Braves at Mets: Under 8 (-115) A grade (risk 1.15u to win 1u)

• First pitch: 53 degrees, wind out to LF at 7 mph, 0% chance of rain
• Approx end: 52 degrees, wind across to LF at 7 mph, 0% chance of rain
• The park adjusts the runs by -8% and the weather adjusts it another -5%
• Braves (Offense rating: 125 (vs RHP: 123), RPs: 73 (top RPs: 79)) SP: LHP Max Fried (7 GS, 38.1 IP, 4.23 ERA, 4.1 FIP, 3.33 xFIP, 3.67 park neutral projection, Rating: 73)
• Mets (Offense rating: 103 (vs LHP: 101), RPs: 95 (top RPs: 82)) SP: RHP Christian Scott (1 GS, 6.2 IP, 1.35 ERA, 1.81 FIP, 3.5 xFIP, 4.33 park neutral projection, Rating: 102)
• SideLine Projected Total: 7.03

The Atlanta Braves take on the New York Mets in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup at Citi Field. With both teams featuring strong pitching staffs and a park that suppresses runs, the Under 8 looks like a solid play for tomorrow’s game.

The Braves send out left-handed pitcher Max Fried to the mound, who has been solid but not spectacular this season. Despite a 4.23 ERA over 38.1 innings pitched, Fried boasts impressive solid metrics with a FIP of 4.10 and xFIP of 3.33. These numbers suggest that Fried has been somewhat unlucky and could see improved results moving forward.

On the other side, the Mets counter with right-hander Christian Scott, who has only made one start but has been impressive thus far with a 1.35 ERA over 6.2 innings pitched. While it’s a small sample size, Scott’s FIP of 1.81 indicates that his success may not be entirely luck-driven, making him a solid option to keep the Braves’ offense in check.

Additionally, the weather conditions at Citi Field further favor the Under, with temperatures in the low 50s and a slight breeze blowing across the field. The park itself suppresses runs by 8%, and with the weather providing an additional 5% reduction in scoring, we can expect a low-scoring affair between these two teams.

According to the SideLine model, the projected total for this game is 7.03 runs, further supporting the Under 8 wager. With both teams featuring solid pitching and playing in conditions conducive to low-scoring games, betting on the Under 8 (-115) represents a strong play for tomorrow’s matchup, earning it an A grade.

4:10pm ET: Braves at Mets: Under 8 (-115) A grade (risk 1.15u to win 1u)

• First pitch: 53 degrees, wind out to LF at 7 mph, 0% chance of rain
• Approx end: 52 degrees, wind across to LF at 7 mph, 0% chance of rain
• The park adjusts the runs by -8% and the weather adjusts it another -5%
• Braves (Offense rating: 125 (vs RHP: 123), RPs: 73 (top RPs: 79)) SP: LHP Max Fried (7 GS, 38.1 IP, 4.23 ERA, 4.1 FIP, 3.33 xFIP, 3.67 park neutral projection, Rating: 73)
• Mets (Offense rating: 103 (vs LHP: 101), RPs: 95 (top RPs: 82)) SP: RHP Christian Scott (1 GS, 6.2 IP, 1.35 ERA, 1.81 FIP, 3.5 xFIP, 4.33 park neutral projection, Rating: 102)
• SideLine Projected Total: 7.03

The Atlanta Braves take on the New York Mets in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup at Citi Field. With both teams featuring strong pitching staffs and a park that suppresses runs, the Under 8 looks like a solid play for tomorrow’s game.

The Braves send out left-handed pitcher Max Fried to the mound, who has been solid but not spectacular this season. Despite a 4.23 ERA over 38.1 innings pitched, Fried boasts impressive solid metrics with a FIP of 4.10 and xFIP of 3.33. These numbers suggest that Fried has been somewhat unlucky and could see improved results moving forward.

On the other side, the Mets counter with right-hander Christian Scott, who has only made one start but has been impressive thus far with a 1.35 ERA over 6.2 innings pitched. While it’s a small sample size, Scott’s FIP of 1.81 indicates that his success may not be entirely luck-driven, making him a solid option to keep the Braves’ offense in check.

Additionally, the weather conditions at Citi Field further favor the Under, with temperatures in the low 50s and a slight breeze blowing across the field. The park itself suppresses runs by 8%, and with the weather providing an additional 5% reduction in scoring, we can expect a low-scoring affair between these two teams.

According to the SideLine model, the projected total for this game is 7.03 runs, further supporting the Under 8 wager. With both teams featuring solid pitching and playing in conditions conducive to low-scoring games, betting on the Under 8 (-115) represents a strong play for tomorrow’s matchup, earning it an A grade.